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Two most overrated goalies of all time. Patrick Roy and Marty Brodeur.

GoldenageGoldenage Posts: 3,278 ✭✭✭✭✭

So why pick on the goalie with the most wins all time in the NHL and the goalie with the most shutouts ?
Well, no one is picking on them. It's simply the truth.

What is a goalies job in the NHL ? Simply, to stop the puck, right.
Why is Patrick Roy's rookie card selling for so much money when he doesn't even break the Top 50 all time in
save percentage ? Save percentage is the amount of shots a goalie gets on net, and how many he saves. Patrick
is no where to be found in the Top 50 shot blockers of all time.

Marty Brodeur at least cracks the top 50, but he comes in at number 41.

Perhaps it's because they're Canadian and the great white north really wants to pump up it's players ? Perhaps.

The truth is the top 3 goalies of all time do not come from Canada. Sorry Canada. No bias here. Just the stats, or facts.

There are only five NHL goalies who are at the incredible all time 0.92 or above save percentage. At 0.922 are Dominik Hasek, Tuukka Rask, Ken Dryden. Ben Bishop at 0.921, and Tim Thomas at 0.920

Ken Dryden played for the Canadiens, under the great defensive coach Scotty Bowman, and he had great defenses play in front of him. Just like Brodeur, who accumulated all those lifetime shutouts by sometimes only stopping 20 shots a game. Brodeur had the luxury of playing behind some great defenses. Dryden just simply never had to make the saves that Hasek or Thomas or Rask did. Dryden's defense and back checking forwards always allowed him to make the simple saves with very few rebounds. For those who watched Dryden and his Canadiens, and also watched Hasek and Thomas, you know what is being said here.

You say, wait a second. I'm sure Dryden, Brodeur, and Roy were incredible during the postseason. That's why they are legends.
Nope. Save percentage in the post season has Dryden at #44 all time. Roy at #28. Brodeur at #25.

So that leaves us with Hasek, Tuukka Rask, Ben Bishop, and Tim Thomas as the greatest regular season shot blockers above 0.92 during the regular season. How did they do in the postseason ? Ben Bishop is #12 at 0.924. Hasek is #11 at 0.925
Tukkaa Rask (still playing) is 0.926

Tim Thomas is the only NHL goalie in the postseason with over 50 games to ever do the impossible, which is obtain a save percentage over 0,93. In fact, he's not just at 0.93, he's at 0.933, which just blows away his peers.

So Tim Thomas statistically can be considered the greatest shot blocker of all time. Although anyone can put Hasek, Rask, and Ben Bishop in that same category.

Sorry Canada, Dryden, Patrick Roy, and Marty needs to face the shot blocking facts.

The USA has two of the greatest goaltenders who ever lived, as does Finland and Czeckoslovakia.

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    perkdogperkdog Posts: 29,489 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Interesting I always thought Roy and Brodeur were in the best ever conversation. But I know very little about hockey

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    GoldenageGoldenage Posts: 3,278 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @perkdog said:
    Interesting I always thought Roy and Brodeur were in the best ever conversation. But I know very little about hockey

    Thanks perkdog for taking the time to read. Being that you are from New England, where Thomas played, take a look at this next fact. Tim Thomas did the absolute impossible in the Stanley Cup finals against Vancouver. If you ever get the time to watch those games, you will see THE GREATEST goaltending display that the NHL has ever seen.

    On May 27, 2011, Thomas posted a shutout victory over the Tampa Bay Lightning in Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals, sending the Bruins to their first Stanley Cup appearance since 1990. In the Final, Thomas again posted a shutout victory in Game 7 against the Vancouver Canucks. During the Bruins' playoff run, he set the record for most saves in a single post-season with 798 and the most saves in a Stanley Cup series with 238, and broke Frank McCool's 66-year-old record of fewest goals allowed in a seven-game Stanley Cup Final, allowing only eight goals total (for an all-time record .967 save percentage in the Stanley Cup Finals). Thomas also became the first goaltender ever to post a shutout in a Game 7 on the road. He won the Conn Smythe Trophy as playoff MVP, and at 37 years, 62 days, Thomas is the oldest recipient of the award. He became just the second American-born NHL player to ever win the award, 17 years after Brian Leetch did so in 1994, plus Thomas was also the first American-born goaltender to receive this honor.

    So Perkdog, to watch a goalie get a save percentage of 0.967 during a Stanley Cup final is just not human. It really is
    greater or equal to any other sporting performance in the history of professional sports. It's right up there with the all
    time greatest feats in sports history.

    Tim Thomas is simply the best shot blocker to ever live. If you ever get the chance to go back and watch the whole series, you will see just great save after great save, and pure dominance like never seen before.

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    perkdogperkdog Posts: 29,489 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Very nice Dissertation 👍👍🍻

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    GoldenageGoldenage Posts: 3,278 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @perkdog said:
    Very nice Dissertation 👍👍🍻

    Thanks perkdog. New England fans have had the pleasure of watching the greatest NHL defensman of all time, the greatest NFL quarterback of all time, and believe it or not, two of the greatest NHL goaltenders of all time back to back. Tuukka Rask took over right after Tim Thomas retired.

    Spoiled brats. LOL.

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    perkdogperkdog Posts: 29,489 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @Goldenage said:

    @perkdog said:
    Very nice Dissertation 👍👍🍻

    Thanks perkdog. New England fans have had the pleasure of watching the greatest NHL defensman of all time, the greatest NFL quarterback of all time, and believe it or not, two of the greatest NHL goaltenders of all time back to back. Tuukka Rask took over right after Tim Thomas retired.

    Spoiled brats. LOL.

    Hahaha believe me I know we are very fortunate, especially with the Pats but above all I think the 2004 World Series with the Sox was the one that really meant the most to New Englanders

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    craig44craig44 Posts: 10,523 ✭✭✭✭✭

    thank you for that analysis. I dont know much about hockey, but do have at least a little interest.

    I also thought Patrick Roy was at least in the discussion of goalie goat. I do remember Hasek being raved about. did he get a late start? seems like he didn't play as long as others.

    George Brett, Roger Clemens and Tommy Brady.

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    GoldenageGoldenage Posts: 3,278 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @craig44 said:
    thank you for that analysis. I dont know much about hockey, but do have at least a little interest.

    I also thought Patrick Roy was at least in the discussion of goalie goat. I do remember Hasek being raved about. did he get a late start? seems like he didn't play as long as others.

    Thanks Craig. Hasek got his start with the Chicago Blackhawks. He was backing up another great in Ed Belfour.
    If you ever get to watch tape of the Penguins-Blackhawks Stanley Cup final, Mike Keenan pulls Belfour in a 6-5 Penguins win in Chicago. Hasek comes in and stones Lemieux on two breakaways. He did let in a few goals, but played great.

    Hasek was great in the regular season and postseason. Thomas was just beyond great in the postseason.

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    JoeBanzaiJoeBanzai Posts: 11,214 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @perkdog said:
    Interesting I always thought Roy and Brodeur were in the best ever conversation. But I know very little about hockey

    They are, and not a lot of people know a thing about hockey.

    If you actually do know about the game of hockey, you know that Roy and Brodeur are two of the all time best. What a guys hockey card sells for is irrelevant to the discussion.

    Save % is a great stat if you don't take it too seriously, just like any other stat, it tells part of the story.

    .> @Goldenage said:

    So why pick on the goalie with the most wins all time in the NHL and the goalie with the most shutouts ?
    Well, no one is picking on them. It's simply the truth.

    What is a goalies job in the NHL ? Simply, to stop the puck, right.
    Why is Patrick Roy's rookie card selling for so much money when he doesn't even break the Top 50 all time in
    save percentage ? Save percentage is the amount of shots a goalie gets on net, and how many he saves. Patrick
    is no where to be found in the Top 50 shot blockers of all time.

    Marty Brodeur at least cracks the top 50, but he comes in at number 41.

    Perhaps it's because they're Canadian and the great white north really wants to pump up it's players ? Perhaps.

    The truth is the top 3 goalies of all time do not come from Canada. Sorry Canada. No bias here. Just the stats, or facts.

    There are only five NHL goalies who are at the incredible all time 0.92 or above save percentage. At 0.922 are Dominik Hasek, Tuukka Rask, Ken Dryden. Ben Bishop at 0.921, and Tim Thomas at 0.920

    Ken Dryden played for the Canadiens, under the great defensive coach Scotty Bowman, and he had great defenses play in front of him. Just like Brodeur, who accumulated all those lifetime shutouts by sometimes only stopping 20 shots a game. Brodeur had the luxury of playing behind some great defenses. Dryden just simply never had to make the saves that Hasek or Thomas or Rask did. Dryden's defense and back checking forwards always allowed him to make the simple saves with very few rebounds. For those who watched Dryden and his Canadiens, and also watched Hasek and Thomas, you know what is being said here.

    You say, wait a second. I'm sure Dryden, Brodeur, and Roy were incredible during the postseason. That's why they are legends.
    Nope. Save percentage in the post season has Dryden at #44 all time. Roy at #28. Brodeur at #25.

    So that leaves us with Hasek, Tuukka Rask, Ben Bishop, and Tim Thomas as the greatest regular season shot blockers above 0.92 during the regular season. How did they do in the postseason ? Ben Bishop is #12 at 0.924. Hasek is #11 at 0.925
    Tukkaa Rask (still playing) is 0.926

    Tim Thomas is the only NHL goalie in the postseason with over 50 games to ever do the impossible, which is obtain a save percentage over 0,93. In fact, he's not just at 0.93, he's at 0.933, which just blows away his peers.

    So Tim Thomas statistically can be considered the greatest shot blocker of all time. Although anyone can put Hasek, Rask, and Ben Bishop in that same category.

    Sorry Canada, Dryden, Patrick Roy, and Marty needs to face the shot blocking facts.

    The USA has two of the greatest goaltenders who ever lived, as does Finland and Czeckoslovakia.

    How about Jacques Plante? You missed him.

    The goalie position has evolved, somewhat like the Quarterback spot in football. Save % is higher now than it ever has been.

    Simply listing the top save % goalies does not tell the story at all.

    From 1987-88 to 1991-1992 Roy was the save % leader four out of 5 seasons and never had a % better than .914, yet you look at his save % and say he is over rated.

    He was the "best" goalie in the NHL when he played for Montreal with a .904 save %, and a very good goalie when he played for Colorado when he had a .918 %. In fact he averaged a .923 % in his final two years when he was 36 and 37 years old.

    Using your logic, he was better at the age of 37 than he was at 27. He played in 1028 games.

    Dryden played well for 7 years, he was the best of his time, but had a short career. Brodeur played for a team with a great defense, he was a great goalie, but not quite as good as Roy. He played in over 1200 games! Winning championships factors in for many, not so much for me.

    No argument on Hasek, probably the best of all time.

    Tuukka Rask (546 games) led the league in save % once, Ben Bishop (413 games), once, and Tim Thomas (426 games) did it twice but other than those two years he was never above .921 and he had a very short career, certainly far to short to be considered an all time great in this era.

    If someone played in one game and had a shutout, he would not be considered the best of all time.

    2013,14 and 15 Certificate Award Winner Harmon Killebrew Master Set and Master Topps Set
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    GoldenageGoldenage Posts: 3,278 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Goalies can play better when they are 37. If you read my above facts about Tim Thomas posting an incredible 0.967 save percentage in the postseason, he did it at age 37 also.

    Patrick Roy's leading the league in save percentage from 88-92 to justify his "greatness" is absurd.
    Let me let you in on a little secret. Hasek, Rask, Bishop, and Thomas weren't in the league at that time. If they
    were, little Patrick would be down the list, like he always is.

    Even the non-hockey fan can understand this simple truth. Save percentage is based on a goalie seeing the puck, and stopping the puck. It also comes down to goalies making incredible saves, for which goalies like Hasek, Tim Thomas, Tuukka Rask, and even Jonathan Quick are known for. Patrick Roy is not in their category. He's not even in the Top 50 shot stoppers all time.

    What else makes a goalie great besides stopping the puck ? How he drinks out of his water bottle ? How he tapes his stick ?
    Patrick Roy played on great teams in Colorado and Montreal. Marty had great teams in New Jersey. That's why they have so many wins and shutouts.

    When it comes to stopping shots, they can't carry the other guys jocks. It's that simple that even a non-hockey fan
    can understand.

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    GoldenageGoldenage Posts: 3,278 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I just reread your post and missed a few things.

    1- Marty and Patrick played in the same enlarged equipment era as Hasek and Thomas. The goalie position has
    not "evolved" as you have said. Marty and Patrick just weren't as good at stopping the puck.

    2- Save percentage was not kept during the Plante era.

    3- Roberto Luongo would have won championships with New Jersey if he was there. But he wasn't. He was a better
    all time shot stopper than Marty. Easily by far. Ryan Miller too.

    4- Dryden was the best of his time. He was also an all time great, as stated in my OP. He was just not that good in
    the postseason. Sorry Ken. You drop down the list because of that.

    5- "If someone played one game and had a shutout, he would not be considered the best of all time."......Congrats on
    that factual statement. But it has nothing to do with anything that has been discussed.

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    JoeBanzaiJoeBanzai Posts: 11,214 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @Goldenage said:
    I just reread your post and missed a few things.

    Yes you did.

    1- Marty and Patrick played in the same enlarged equipment era as Hasek and Thomas. The goalie position has
    not "evolved" as you have said. Marty and Patrick just weren't as good at stopping the puck.

    >
    Of course it has. You can only judge players against their peers and Roy was the best in the NHL from 1987-1992 using your number.

    2- Save percentage was not kept during the Plante era.

    Wrong again, https://www.hockey-reference.com/players/p/plantja01.html

    3- Roberto Luongo would have won championships with New Jersey if he was there. But he wasn't. He was a better
    all time shot stopper than Marty. Easily by far. Ryan Miller too.

    Luongo was very good. And you are right, he didn't play for NJ or Montreal or the California Golden Seals either.

    4- Dryden was the best of his time. He was also an all time great, as stated in my OP. He was just not that good in
    the postseason. Sorry Ken. You drop down the list because of that.

    He was good enough to backstop his team to 6 wins in 8 trips to the finals. He had save % of .920,.929 and .932 those are great %'s!

    5- "If someone played one game and had a shutout, he would not be considered the best of all time."......Congrats on
    that factual statement. But it has nothing to do with anything that has been discussed.

    Trying to prove a point there, I guess you missed that too, and yes it goes directly to career length, something you ignored.

    One of the guys you say is so good; Tim Thomas has two fantastic seasons and never played in more than 59 games in a season in his short career, so of course his save % is going to be high. Might be since he got a lot of rest he stopped a couple more pucks out of a hundred shots.

    Marty had 12 seasons in which he played in 70 or more games. To rate Thomas above Brodeur is unbelievable. All on the weight of 2 seasons. Just think of how much better Thomas would have been had he retired after 2010-2011!

    Better yet had he only played in those 57 games! GOAT!

    I'm done here.

    2013,14 and 15 Certificate Award Winner Harmon Killebrew Master Set and Master Topps Set
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    LarkinCollectorLarkinCollector Posts: 8,975 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I know nothing about hockey and don't really care to, but I do love me some good controversy and stirring the pot. Well done @Goldenage !

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    PillarDollarCollectorPillarDollarCollector Posts: 4,748 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I saw both play these 2 are top 10 for sure.

    Collecting interests: Coins from Latin American (2020-present)

    Sports: NFL & NHL

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    JustacommemanJustacommeman Posts: 22,847 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited February 22, 2021 2:12PM

    FWIW Forsberg has told me that Roy, Brodeur and Hasek were the best goalies he's ever played with or against.

    Save pct is to goalies as fielding pct is to baseball. Taken with a grain of salt.

    mark

    Walker Proof Digital Album
    Fellas, leave the tight pants to the ladies. If I can count the coins in your pockets you better use them to call a tailor. Stay thirsty my friends......
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    GoldenageGoldenage Posts: 3,278 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited February 22, 2021 2:22PM

    In a way we are splitting hairs here. As I've stated in another thread, NHL goalies are so close in comparison that they have very limited outcome on a players plus/minus.

    Have to disagree comparing save percentage to fielding errors. Fielding errors do not contribute to a team losing as does a save percentage contributing to a team winning.

    If Tim Thomas did not have that 0.967 save percentage in 2011 for the Bruins when they beat the Canucks seven games in Vancouver, then the Bruins simply do not win the Stanley Cup.

    As you well know, every NHL player will tell you that the most important thing you need to win a Stanley Cup is a real hot goalie. It
    is a real important position. Much more than a first baseman making a bobble in the third inning costing his team the World Series. One soft goal can
    make the difference between victory and defeat when games are so close.

  • Options
    GoldenageGoldenage Posts: 3,278 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @JoeBanzai said:

    @Goldenage said:
    I just reread your post and missed a few things.

    Yes you did.

    1- Marty and Patrick played in the same enlarged equipment era as Hasek and Thomas. The goalie position has
    not "evolved" as you have said. Marty and Patrick just weren't as good at stopping the puck.

    >
    Of course it has. You can only judge players against their peers and Roy was the best in the NHL from 1987-1992 using your number.

    2- Save percentage was not kept during the Plante era.

    Wrong again, https://www.hockey-reference.com/players/p/plantja01.html

    3- Roberto Luongo would have won championships with New Jersey if he was there. But he wasn't. He was a better
    all time shot stopper than Marty. Easily by far. Ryan Miller too.

    Luongo was very good. And you are right, he didn't play for NJ or Montreal or the California Golden Seals either.

    4- Dryden was the best of his time. He was also an all time great, as stated in my OP. He was just not that good in
    the postseason. Sorry Ken. You drop down the list because of that.

    He was good enough to backstop his team to 6 wins in 8 trips to the finals. He had save % of .920,.929 and .932 those are great %'s!

    5- "If someone played one game and had a shutout, he would not be considered the best of all time."......Congrats on
    that factual statement. But it has nothing to do with anything that has been discussed.

    Trying to prove a point there, I guess you missed that too, and yes it goes directly to career length, something you ignored.

    One of the guys you say is so good; Tim Thomas has two fantastic seasons and never played in more than 59 games in a season in his short career, so of course his save % is going to be high. Might be since he got a lot of rest he stopped a couple more pucks out of a hundred shots.

    Marty had 12 seasons in which he played in 70 or more games. To rate Thomas above Brodeur is unbelievable. All on the weight of 2 seasons. Just think of how much better Thomas would have been had he retired after 2010-2011!

    Better yet had he only played in those 57 games! GOAT!

    I'm done here.

    Playoff save percentage all time

    Tim Thomas 0.933 The best !
    Ken Dryden 0.915 #44 all time

    So many goalies are ahead of Dryden all time. Dryden is not even close to Johnny Bower. Lol.

    https://www.quanthockey.com/nhl/records/nhl-goalies-all-time-playoff-save-percentage-leaders.html

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    JustacommemanJustacommeman Posts: 22,847 ✭✭✭✭✭

    It's ok I disagree with a lot of what you wrote and still do. Fielding pct and goalie pct and just one piece of the puzzle. I'll take Roy, Marty or Hasek any day of the week and twice on Sunday over anyone else after.

    Yes, Tim Thomas had a great Cup run but one didnt need to know his save pct to know that

    mark

    Walker Proof Digital Album
    Fellas, leave the tight pants to the ladies. If I can count the coins in your pockets you better use them to call a tailor. Stay thirsty my friends......
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    JustacommemanJustacommeman Posts: 22,847 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited February 22, 2021 7:09PM

    @Goldenage said:
    In a way we are splitting hairs here. As I've stated in another thread, NHL goalies are so close in comparison that they have very limited outcome on a players plus/minus.

    Have to disagree comparing save percentage to fielding errors. Fielding errors do not contribute to a team losing as does a save percentage contributing to a team winning.

    If Tim Thomas did not have that 0.967 save percentage in 2011 for the Bruins when they beat the Canucks seven games in Vancouver, then the Bruins simply do not win the Stanley Cup.

    As you well know, every NHL player will tell you that the most important thing you need to win a Stanley Cup is a real hot goalie. It
    is a real important position. Much more than a first baseman making a bobble in the third inning costing his team the World Series. One soft goal can
    make the difference between victory and defeat when games are so close.

    Bill Buckner and the Red Sox beg to differ

    m

    Walker Proof Digital Album
    Fellas, leave the tight pants to the ladies. If I can count the coins in your pockets you better use them to call a tailor. Stay thirsty my friends......
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    JustacommemanJustacommeman Posts: 22,847 ✭✭✭✭✭

    And for the record I think Hasek was the best goalie I have ever seen period.

    m

    Walker Proof Digital Album
    Fellas, leave the tight pants to the ladies. If I can count the coins in your pockets you better use them to call a tailor. Stay thirsty my friends......
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    GoldenageGoldenage Posts: 3,278 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @Justacommeman said:

    @Goldenage said:
    In a way we are splitting hairs here. As I've stated in another thread, NHL goalies are so close in comparison that they have very limited outcome on a players plus/minus.

    Have to disagree comparing save percentage to fielding errors. Fielding errors do not contribute to a team losing as does a save percentage contributing to a team winning.

    If Tim Thomas did not have that 0.967 save percentage in 2011 for the Bruins when they beat the Canucks seven games in Vancouver, then the Bruins simply do not win the Stanley Cup.

    As you well know, every NHL player will tell you that the most important thing you need to win a Stanley Cup is a real hot goalie. It
    is a real important position. Much more than a first baseman making a bobble in the third inning costing his team the World Series. One soft goal can
    make the difference between victory and defeat when games are so close.

    Bill Bucker and the Red Sox beg to differ

    m

    Cute answer, but silly. The Red Sox bullpen and failure to move runners that day cost them the game
    much more than Buckner did. The Red Sox made three errors that day. The Mets made two. Were the other
    four errors in that game as costly as Buckners ? The Red Sox had leads of 3-2 in the 7th and 5-3 in the 10th.
    Was Buckner more responsible for the loss over a poor Red Sox poor bullpen ?

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    GoldenageGoldenage Posts: 3,278 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Lol. Five errors in that game that day. Were the other four errors as costly as Buckner's, or just Bill's ?

    Red Sox had leads of 3-2 in the 7th and 5-3 in the 10th ? Did Buckner come out of the bullpen and blow those games ?

    Bill Buckner's one error was just part of the game. The Red Sox bullpen and leaving too many men on base cost the Red Sox that day. Sox had 13 hits to the Mets 8. They stranded way too many base runners.

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    GoldenageGoldenage Posts: 3,278 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @Justacommeman said:
    It's ok I disagree with a lot of what you wrote and still do. Fielding pct and goalie pct and just one piece of the puzzle. I'll take Roy, Marty or Hasek any day of the week and twice on Sunday over anyone else after.

    Yes, Tim Thomas had a great Cup run but one didnt need to know his save pct to know that

    mark

    If you take Patrick Roy then you settle with a goalie who is not even in the Top 50 all time in save percentage.
    Roy won many games because of the teams he played on. Brodeur could take showers inbetween shots in New Jersey. His defense was that good. Tim Thomas faced a record amount of shots in the 2011 NHL playoffs. Sounds to me like his defense was letting him down. All he did was flash another world performance that will never be touched. Too bad
    Patrick, Marty, and Dominik will never sniff of his greatness in the postseason. That's ok. Take those guys.

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    JustacommemanJustacommeman Posts: 22,847 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited February 22, 2021 4:22PM

    The thing is I don't care about save percentage nearly as much as you. Your entire thesis is based in something I don't hold in high regard. It's ok. We can still be friends.

    The difference of .10 is one goal every 4 games or 1 goal in 100 shots over a career. Soft saves. Tough saves. Low value saves . High value saves. Redirects. Blocked shots. Defections. Crappy and biased stat keepers. Goals off your own players. Posts and cross bars. Odd man rushes. They are all play into pucks either going into the net or not. High value saves and how your team plays with you in the nets are more meaningful to me then the measurement of how many times a puck hit your pads, stick or glove. I do know that with great goaltenders teams tend to take more chances figuring you can bail them out on odd man rushes. No way to measure.

    A case could be made for Brodeur that any save percentage deficit could be offset by his stick handling prowess. He was the greatest and was and shoulders better than his generation. He was The Godfather. He started so many offensive opportunities.

    I only saw Dryden at the end of his career so for me it's

    Hasek
    Brodeur
    Roy

    Of who I saw play up to now. ( but its REALLY close for me. All are toss ups)

    Tim Thomas's 2010-11 season was one for the ages.

    m

    Walker Proof Digital Album
    Fellas, leave the tight pants to the ladies. If I can count the coins in your pockets you better use them to call a tailor. Stay thirsty my friends......
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    TabeTabe Posts: 5,927 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I mean, Chris Osgood had a .916 save % (.918 with Detroit) and I don't think anybody's putting him up near the top despite his career 2.09 GAA in the playoffs. He was out of this world in 2008 bailing out Dominik Hasek though.

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    JustacommemanJustacommeman Posts: 22,847 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited February 22, 2021 7:54PM

    @Tabe said:
    I mean, Chris Osgood had a .916 save % (.918 with Detroit) and I don't think anybody's putting him up near the top despite his career 2.09 GAA in the playoffs. He was out of this world in 2008 bailing out Dominik Hasek though.

    This is true. A guy who won't show up anywhere near the top of all time save percentage leaders is Mike Vernon who won two cups and an incredible 96-97 playoff run and season. Won the Conn Smythe.

    Jean-Sebastien Giguere had a sick run 2002-3. Had a .945 save percentage in the Playoffs with the Ducks , won the Conn Smythe as MVP and they lost in 7 in the finals.

    A lot of people like Roy as GOAT goalie as he won 3 Conn Smythe's. Most all- time. He had some incredible playoffs

    m

    Walker Proof Digital Album
    Fellas, leave the tight pants to the ladies. If I can count the coins in your pockets you better use them to call a tailor. Stay thirsty my friends......
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    TabeTabe Posts: 5,927 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @Justacommeman said:

    @Tabe said:
    I mean, Chris Osgood had a .916 save % (.918 with Detroit) and I don't think anybody's putting him up near the top despite his career 2.09 GAA in the playoffs. He was out of this world in 2008 bailing out Dominik Hasek though.

    This is true. A guy who won't show up anywhere near the top of all time save percentage leaders is Mike Vernon who won two cups and an incredible 96-97 playoff run and season.

    Vernon was incredible in the playoffs that year. And, of course, he bloodied Patrick Roy in the biggest game of the year.

    I'm still salty - as is Vernon from what I understand - at the way the Wings got rid of him after winning the Cup. I get it, someone had to go and Osgood was the young starter and deserved to stay, but it still sucks. They should have worked a deal to trade him to San Jose and then get him back.

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    dallasactuarydallasactuary Posts: 4,115 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @Justacommeman said:
    And for the record I think Hasek was the best goalie I have ever seen period.

    m

    Best I've ever seen, too, with Brodeur close on his heels. As with all stats in a team sport, none of which measure only the individual to whom they are assigned, save % is mostly a goalie stat, but it's also a team defense stat. Any goalie can stop 99% of the shots that come from the blue line, and no goalie can stop more than 50% of the shots that come on 2-on-1 breakaways. Goalies on teams with great defenses face mostly soft shots from distance and it pads their save %; goalies on teams with bad defenses face shots from shorter distances, on average, and more breakaways. Your analogy to fielding % is spot on; they both measure something, but they don't measure a whole lot more than they do measure.

    This is for you @thisistheshow - Jim Rice was actually a pretty good player.
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    daltexdaltex Posts: 3,486 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Milton Bradley was a better player than Ty Cobb because he had 125 home runs to Cobb's 117.

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    JustacommemanJustacommeman Posts: 22,847 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @daltex said:
    Milton Bradley was a better player than Ty Cobb because he had 125 home runs to Cobb's 117.

    And he had a wicked glove hand.

    I did not see this coming.

    m

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    LarkinCollectorLarkinCollector Posts: 8,975 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @daltex said:
    Milton Bradley was a better player than Ty Cobb because he had 125 home runs to Cobb's 117.

    It's obvious, I'm convinced.

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    jay0791jay0791 Posts: 3,513 ✭✭✭✭

    I am along the thoughts that save % is not as important as stated.
    So where does Sawchuck rate?
    Tim Thomas most likely will not make the HOF. He did have a great run.
    how about Rask?

    No mention of Durham. played 7 years and won 6 Venezia trophies. Maybe its 6 and 5

    I might ask this of you knowledgeable HK fans. What goalies not in the HOF either retired or still playing are on or had a hof career?

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    DrBusterDrBuster Posts: 5,305 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited February 23, 2021 6:40AM

    I saw Roy, Brodeur, and Hasek all live, Roy a few times. Definitely all top 10 by my vote. When they were hot they were blazing hot, like 3 mile island wings hot.

    Osgood gets my hometown nod too ;)

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    craig44craig44 Posts: 10,523 ✭✭✭✭✭

    This is fascinating to read for a non-hockey guy. A couple of takeaways.

    1. I didn't realize how short Thomas's career was. It seems to be to small a sample size for him to be considered the goat goalie. '
    2. I had not thought that all saves are not equal. Justacommeman made some great points about that fact. It seems to be a very difficult thing to get real usable metrics for. similar to fielding stats in baseball. too many variables.

    while I don't know what is a better measure than save percentage, there must be something better. even I can see save % cannot be the final answer.

    George Brett, Roger Clemens and Tommy Brady.

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    JustacommemanJustacommeman Posts: 22,847 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited February 23, 2021 9:57AM

    Yes Thomas's career was rather short. The interesting thing about his playoff numbers is that 2011 accounted for exactly 50% of all post season games he ever played in. Boston played in an incredible playoff 25 games that year. If not a record it's close to one. Other goalies cited played up to five times more games.

    m

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    GoldenageGoldenage Posts: 3,278 ✭✭✭✭✭

    You’d have to follow hockey and watch these guys play to see which goalies are most consistent, and which goalies make the spectacular saves that other goalies couldn’t.

    Most feel that Hasek was the best at being consistent and making saves others couldn’t. Others feel its Lundquist. You’ll get lots of opinions on who was the best.

    Ben Bishop is 6’7, so he covers a lot of the net and doesn’t have to move as much as a Jonathan Quick. Quick probably makes the most spectacular saves.

    Being that the top 5 save percentage guys all time were so close, I had to go with one, which isn’t easy, and what Thomas did to win the most important trophy in hockey, and what no other goalie has ever done, nor will ever do again, for me puts him above the rest.

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    3stars3stars Posts: 2,281 ✭✭✭✭✭

    whose the better goalie here - a goalie with a stellar defense who sees only 20 shots per game with a .900 save %, or the goalie with crap defense in front of him who sees 40 shots per game and lets in 4 goals (.900 save %).

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    GoldenageGoldenage Posts: 3,278 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Why would Bob McKenzie, when discussing Claude Julien's firing during intermission of the NBC hockey game last night discuss the fact that Carey Price has a save percentage below 0.90 so far this year ? Why would a network hired, well respected analyst like Bob McKenzie discuss such a useless stat in reference to the poor play of the Montreal Canadiens recently ? Perhaps the experts on this board could chime in on why Bob would do such a thing. Lol.

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    GoldenageGoldenage Posts: 3,278 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Speaking of hockey, what a joy it was to watch this game the other night. Took me back to my youth.

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    dallasactuarydallasactuary Posts: 4,115 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @Goldenage said:
    Why would a network hired, well respected analyst like Bob McKenzie discuss such a useless stat in reference to the poor play of the Montreal Canadiens recently ? Perhaps the experts on this board could chime in on why Bob would do such a thing. Lol.

    Nobody said the stat was useless, only that a ranking of goalies based on nothing but this one stat is useless. See the difference? No? Yeah, I didn't think you would.

    This is for you @thisistheshow - Jim Rice was actually a pretty good player.
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    GoldenageGoldenage Posts: 3,278 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @dallasactuary said:

    @Goldenage said:
    Why would a network hired, well respected analyst like Bob McKenzie discuss such a useless stat in reference to the poor play of the Montreal Canadiens recently ? Perhaps the experts on this board could chime in on why Bob would do such a thing. Lol.

    Nobody said the stat was useless, only that a ranking of goalies based on nothing but this one stat is useless. See the difference? No? Yeah, I didn't think you would.

    I agree Dallas. You can't say that fielding percentage is the only stat to rate a fielder in baseball, and you can't say the same for goalies. Except when looking at the quickest goalies ever in the net, there are three names that come to mind, Dominik Hasek (the human pretzel), Tim Thomas, and Jonathan Quick. These three because of their quickness, made the impossible saves that other goalies couldn't. Ben Bishop gets some love because even though he wasn't as quick as they were, he is just so huge, which works to his advantage, and he doesn't have to be as quick. The truth is that Tim Thomas and Dominik Hasek were the quickest, most agile goalies with the best save percentages in the NHL. Hasek did it over a longer period of time, and Thomas was on another planet in the postseason. Bobby Clarke said it's too bad Bobby Orr didn't have another league to play in. Well, Tim Thomas postseason stats belong in that other league with Orr as well.

    Let me ask you this question. Which percentage gives a better count of a players effectiveness ? Fielding percentage or save percentage ? I would say unquestionably save percentage is a much better metric to evaluate goalies than fielding percentage is to evaluate fielders in baseball. Agree or disagree ?

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    JustacommemanJustacommeman Posts: 22,847 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited February 25, 2021 2:31PM

    Plus Tim Thomas was fat. That helped

    o:)

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    dallasactuarydallasactuary Posts: 4,115 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @Goldenage said:

    Except when looking at the quickest goalies ever in the net, there are three names that come to mind, Dominik Hasek (the human pretzel), Tim Thomas, and Jonathan Quick. These three because of their quickness, made the impossible saves that other goalies couldn't.

    You don't watch much hockey, do you? You could ask every hockey fan in the world which three goalies come to mind first when you say "quickest" and I don't think any of them would name these three. All good goalies, no doubt, but Thomas and Quick wouldn't be on anyone's list of "quickest". Ed Belfour was certifiably insane, and every once in a while he'd have a complete breakdown and give up a ton of goals and kill his save %, but he was most definitely "quicker" - and better - than Tim Thomas. Goaltending and goaltending stats are very much more complicated than you are trying to make them sound.

    Let me ask you this question. Which percentage gives a better count of a players effectiveness ? Fielding percentage or save percentage ? I would say unquestionably save percentage is a much better metric to evaluate goalies than fielding percentage is to evaluate fielders in baseball. Agree or disagree ?

    Both of them are fine for identifying terrible goalies/fielders; if you have a save % or a fielding % of .800, then you suck. But once you get above a certain level ( about .990 for a first baseman, about .910 for a goalie) they both become virtually useless. I do agree that save % is "better", but don't confuse that with my agreeing that it's terribly important.

    This is for you @thisistheshow - Jim Rice was actually a pretty good player.
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    daltexdaltex Posts: 3,486 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Fielding percentage is completely useless because it says nothing about the balls you don't get to. Save percentage has to be at least a little better than that.

    Raw stats are useless to compare players of even slightly different eras. To dip back into baseball for a moment, as relief pitchers Hoyt Wilhelm, Mike Marshall, and Bobby Thigpen were playing very different games.

    Tim Thomas was great. Twice. His two Vezina seasons are better than any Roy ever had. After that he falls off a cliff. He simply wasn't good enough for long enough.

    It's of course imperfect to say that the leader in any one stat is the best of all time, but, if I can again make an analogy to baseball, looking at WAR is a good place to start. Ten best players in WAR:

    1. Babe Ruth+ (22) 182.5 L
    2. Walter Johnson+ (21) 164.5 R
    3. Cy Young+ (22) 163.8 R
    4. Barry Bonds (22) 162.8 L
    5. Willie Mays+ (22) 156.2 R
    6. Ty Cobb+ (24) 151.0 L
    7. Henry Aaron+ (23) 143.1 R
    8. Roger Clemens (24) 139.2 R
    9. Tris Speaker+ (22) 134.2 L
    10. Honus Wagner+ (21) 130.8 R

    You can argue about placement on this list, and of course this doesn't prove that Ruth is best of all time, but there aren't many (any?) serious contenders who aren't on this list.

    Point Shares is a rough equivalent for hockey. Wayne Gretzky is number 1 all time, with Raymond Bourque number 2. This is the list of the top ten in Goalie Point Shares, or rather point shares contributed just by goalie play:

    1. Roberto Luongo 1999-19 217.84
    2. Martin Brodeur* 1991-15 206.97
    3. Patrick Roy* 1984-03 198.34
    4. Terry Sawchuk* 1949-70 179.05
    5. Tony Esposito* 1968-84 178.74
    6. Glenn Hall* 1952-71 177.59
    7. Jacques Plante* 1952-73 173.68
    8. Henrik Lundqvist 2005-20 173.28
    9. Curtis Joseph 1989-09 167.17
    10. Ed Belfour* 1988-07 157.32

    Another reasonable number is goals saved above average. Top ten:

    1. Tony Esposito* 1968-84 498
    2. Patrick Roy* 1984-03 461
    3. Dominik Hasek* 1990-08 413
    4. Bernie Parent* 1965-79 321
    5. Ken Dryden* 1970-79 317
    6. Jacques Plante* 1952-73 295
    7. Roberto Luongo 1999-19 270
    8. Glenn Hall* 1952-71 240
    9. Billy Smith* 1971-89 231
    10. Martin Brodeur* 1991-15 207

    My big takeaway from this is that Luongo was far better than I ever thought he was. Also, of course, Roy and Brodeur are not overrated.

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    JoeBanzaiJoeBanzai Posts: 11,214 ✭✭✭✭✭

    ^^Excellent post!^^

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    dallasactuarydallasactuary Posts: 4,115 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Point Shares and GSAA are both good stats, and a whole lot better stats than Save %, but they still suffer from the same drawbacks as all hockey (and football) stats do - individual stats can't capture value completely in a team game. No goalie stat is worthless, but none are worth much by themselves; the more you look at, the better you'll see the whole picture. And, like football, the game and equipment has changed a lot over the years. So much so that no matter how many stats you look at you will never, ever, be able to compare Martin Brodeur to Terry Sawchuk.

    This is for you @thisistheshow - Jim Rice was actually a pretty good player.
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    JustacommemanJustacommeman Posts: 22,847 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited February 26, 2021 12:38AM

    @daltex If you look at the two goalie lists it pretty much looks like the consensus top goalies of all time list. Roy and Esposito rated out well on both. Only 5 goalies made both lists. Roberto, Roy, Brodeur, Espo and Jacques. At the end of the day no real shockers.

    m

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    GoldenageGoldenage Posts: 3,278 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited February 26, 2021 2:24AM

    Lol. You guys are liking daltex list and Hasek isn’t on the first one and he’s behind Patrick on the 2nd one. Lol.

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    JustacommemanJustacommeman Posts: 22,847 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @Goldenage said:
    Lol. You guys are liking daltex list and Hasek isn’t on the first one and he’s behind Patrick on the 2nd one. Lol.

    Sure it is. There are two lists

    Another reasonable number is goals saved above average. Top ten:

    Tony Esposito* 1968-84 498
    Patrick Roy* 1984-03 461
    Dominik Hasek* 1990-08 413

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    GoldenageGoldenage Posts: 3,278 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @dallasactuary said:
    Point Shares and GSAA are both good stats, and a whole lot better stats than Save %, but they still suffer from the same drawbacks as all hockey (and football) stats do - individual stats can't capture value completely in a team game. No goalie stat is worthless, but none are worth much by themselves; the more you look at, the better you'll see the whole picture. And, like football, the game and equipment has changed a lot over the years. So much so that no matter how many stats you look at you will never, ever, be able to compare Martin Brodeur to Terry Sawchuk.

    Point shares is better than save percentage ? Lol.

    Hasek is #1 in save percentage and is considered by many the best all time, but he doesn’t even crack the top 10 in point shares. Lol

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    dallasactuarydallasactuary Posts: 4,115 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @Goldenage said:

    Point shares is better than save percentage ? Lol.

    Hasek is #1 in save percentage and is considered by many the best all time, but he doesn’t even crack the top 10 in point shares. Lol

    It sure doesn't take much to make you LOL, does it? It looks to me like it's your go-to response when you don't understand what is being discussed. To each his own; I save my LOLs for when I respond to incredibly stupid posts.

    LOL

    This is for you @thisistheshow - Jim Rice was actually a pretty good player.
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