Home U.S. Coin Forum
Options

Update for:Is ANYONE here smart enough to answer this PCGS vs. NGC hypothetical, as presented?

coinguy1coinguy1 Posts: 13,484 ✭✭✭
Coin X in a PCGS holder has a sight-unseen bid of $2410 and a sight-seen bid of $3000.
Coin X in an NGC holder has a sight-unseen bid of $2200 and a sight-seen bid of $2700

It is now time for you to sell the coin - is it better if you bought/own it in a PCGS holder or an NGC holder?

IF you can answer, please humor me and explain your logic/reasoning?
«1

Comments

  • vega1vega1 Posts: 941
    OK, I'll bite. PCGS, because its worth more?
  • clackamasclackamas Posts: 5,615
    The question is missing some facts to create a good answer. It does not matter which one you "bought it in" if you crossed the coin while you owned it.
  • ERER Posts: 7,345
    I don't know. Whichever coin I bought is the one that I liked in the first place.
  • If you bough the coin in either holder 3-5 years ago, I think you would be very happy period.image
  • mgoodm3mgoodm3 Posts: 17,497 ✭✭✭
    How much did I pay for it?
    coinimaging.com/my photography articles Check out the new macro lens testing section
  • MrEurekaMrEureka Posts: 24,412 ✭✭✭✭✭
    It is now time for you to sell the coin - is it better if you bought/own it in a PCGS holder or an NGC holder?

    Assuming you're going to hit a bid? It depends on who is bidding and if they really want the coins.

    If you're not going to hit the bid, you're almost certainly better off with the PCGS coin.
    Andy Lustig

    Doggedly collecting coins of the Central American Republic.

    Visit the Society of US Pattern Collectors at USPatterns.com.
  • MrEurekaMrEureka Posts: 24,412 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Is ANYONE here smart enough to answer this PCGS vs. NGC hypothetical, as presented?

    As for this question, the answer is NO.
    Andy Lustig

    Doggedly collecting coins of the Central American Republic.

    Visit the Society of US Pattern Collectors at USPatterns.com.
  • Edit: I read the question too fast -- I originally thought I was buying.

    If I am selling, it depends on what the (PCGS minus NGC) "spread" was when I bought the coin.

    If the spread was wider when the coin was bought, I want to own the NGC coin, if the spread was tighter when the coin was bought, I want to own the PCGS coin.
  • FairlanemanFairlaneman Posts: 10,426 ✭✭✭✭✭
    NGC

    More than likely its cost was way less than the prices are now. NGC has made some strides and is closing the gap that was present between the two companys within some series.

    Being smart enough has no bearing. Having common sense does.

    Ken
  • dthigpendthigpen Posts: 3,932 ✭✭
    Yes, I am. However, I will not tell you the answer because I think that you're just trying to cheat and don't know it yourself.

    So there.
  • MyqqyMyqqy Posts: 9,777
    I don't think the question is answerable without more information.....
    My style is impetuous, my defense is impregnable !
  • JRoccoJRocco Posts: 14,277 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Wouldn't the "starting price" on the PCGS holder be higher???
    Some coins are just plain "Interesting"
  • RYKRYK Posts: 35,799 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Is ANYONE here smart enough to answer this PCGS vs. NGC hypothetical, as presented?

    No, but it won't stop me from trying.

    It is better to own it in a PCGS holder because there are some collectors who want it only that way. If you have it in an NGC holder, you might eliminate some people from the potential pool of buyers.
  • coinguy1coinguy1 Posts: 13,484 ✭✭✭
    Some (though certainly not all) of you guys are on the right track.image

    I will follow-up on this thread tomorrow or Friday, in order to give others a chance to reply first.

  • mgoodm3mgoodm3 Posts: 17,497 ✭✭✭
    If I can buy it at the low bid and sell it at the high one, I'll take PCGS, bigger profit margin.
    coinimaging.com/my photography articles Check out the new macro lens testing section
  • tradedollarnuttradedollarnut Posts: 20,198 ✭✭✭✭✭
    For this question, exactly as presented, it is not relevent how much you paid. Now is the time to sell and at that time it is better to have it in a PCGS holder based on those bids.

    If the question was presented at the time of purchase, that might require a different analysis.
  • With the provided info I would take the PCGS coin. That is only because the resell value is more. However to correctly answer the question I need to know the prices each one was bought at.
  • joefrojoefro Posts: 1,872 ✭✭
    NGC --> Crackout --> PCGS

    ?
    Lincoln Cent & Libertad Collector
  • As I see this hypothetical example, the pcgs coin has a sight seen/unseen spread of $590, while the ngc coin has a sight seen/unseen spread of $500. So the pcgs coin offers a larger sight seen/unseen premium than does the ngc coin. Here, an aggressive trader might purchase the pcgs coin sight unseen (his risk) and sell it at the sight seen price thus making a bigger bang on the spread than the ngc could offer in coinguy1's hypothetical example. image matteproof
    Remember Lots Wife
  • DHeathDHeath Posts: 8,472 ✭✭✭
    Making certain assumptions (for example that it would be the exact same coin in either holder), it would make sense to have purchased/owned a PQ coin in an NGC holder for NGC money that you sold in PCGS or whatever plastic is most favored in the market when you sold.
    Developing theory is what we are meant to do as academic researchers
    and it sets us apart from practitioners and consultants. Gregor
  • This is easy.

    The answer is "it depends".

    Since it is the same coin it would be better to buy it in NGC since it was cheaper.

    But "it depends" on the eventual buyer. Does he/she depend on holders or their ability to decide on their own.

    "It depends" on whether the buyer is buying sight seen because he/she would more likely have a little more confidence in the PCGS.

    "It depends" on the series in question and which series grades better on that series.

    "It depends" on whether the buyer is a registry type and needs it in a certain holder.

    "It depends" on the market at the time of sale and how it views both services.

    Etc., etc., etc.

    Etc., etc., etc.

  • coinbufcoinbuf Posts: 11,810 ✭✭✭✭✭
    The answer is clear, buy the NGC coin and cross to PCGS to sell. Now I do not beleve in doing this myself but it is a common occurance.

    Chris
    My Lincoln Registry
    My Collection of Old Holders

    Never a slave to one plastic brand will I ever be.
  • Seriously though...if it is a coin that has alot of bid activity on the electronic exchanges, you would be better off in a PCGS holder. If the coin is a POS you would make some extra bucks from the holder, sight unseen. If the coin is nice, the higher bids for the PCGS holder would once again produce more cash.

    I am assuming that youy bought the coin at the "right" price to start with


    Greg
  • mozinmozin Posts: 8,755 ✭✭✭
    Since the NGC spread between sight-unseen and sight-seen is $90 less than the PCGS spread it would appear NGC is grading this particular issue more consistently. Therefore, I vote for the NGC coin. Without that little bit of information I would have leaned to the PCGS coin because I think most potential buyers would want PCGS, whereas some buyers will not buy NGC.
    I collect Capped Bust series by variety in PCGS AU/MS grades.
  • PerryHallPerryHall Posts: 46,814 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>I don't think the question is answerable without more information..... >>

    image

    Worry is the interest you pay on a debt you may not owe.
    "Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value---zero."----Voltaire
    "Everything you say should be true, but not everything true should be said."----Voltaire

  • magikbillymagikbilly Posts: 6,780
    While I am surely out of my depth and don't know the answer, it is sad to me so very little of this has to do with the coin.


    Billy
  • mgoodm3mgoodm3 Posts: 17,497 ✭✭✭
    the crossing idea is good, but you can't assume it will cross as only 20% of NGC coins will cross, so says HRH.
    coinimaging.com/my photography articles Check out the new macro lens testing section
  • IrishMikeIrishMike Posts: 7,737 ✭✭✭
    If you mean by better for you referring to price you can sell it at, it depends. If someone gave me the coin then given that price structure then you would obtain more cash in a PCGS holder all other things being equal.

    If you purchased the coin and bought it intelligently then you most likely expended less dollars for the NGC coin if you purchased it in the last ten years. If you invested the difference between what you paid for the coin in an NGC holder and a PCGS holder then you would actually be dollars ahead having purchased it in an NGC holder. Once again all other things being equal, such as the coins being graded properly etc.

    Of course in the real world this seldom occurs. Let's assume instead of investing the difference, lets say $300 you instead purchased a coin such as a proof walker and sold it for double what you paid originally for it, then regardless you are money ahead. We could keep throwing scenarios out all day long. Since I don't really care what holder its in when I buy the coin, I will assume that I made a profit regardless becuase of my ablity to mostly do so. image It's great not to have a holder ego. image
  • jcpingjcping Posts: 2,649 ✭✭✭
    If I can put the coin X into NGC holder with one grade higher image, then NGC; otherwise, PCGS.
    an SLQ and Ike dollars lover
  • Well, since it looks like it's the same coin (both "Coin X") i would say it's obviously more valuable in the PCGS holder.

    It was bought in an NGC holder and is now in a PCGS holder which will bring more plus side profit.


    Either way a profit would be made. It just depends on which holder "Coin X" is in at the time of sale.


    image
  • coinguy1coinguy1 Posts: 13,484 ✭✭✭


    << <i> i would say it's obviously more valuable in the PCGS holder. >>

    Perhaps, BUT, that wasn't the question.

    My question was :

    << <i>It is now time for you to sell the coin - is it better if you bought/own it in a PCGS holder or an NGC holder >>


    Doug, I'm not picking on you, but rather, using your post as a HINT regarding the answer(s).image




  • robertprrobertpr Posts: 6,862 ✭✭✭
    The sight-unseen PCGS bid is approximately 80.33% of that coin's sight-seen bid, while the NGC sight-unseen bid is approximately 81.48% of the NGC coin's sight-seen bid.

    Therefore, with the PCGS coin you lose more value by selling sight-unseen, and the coin is less liquid. Since we do not know the original purchase price, the method of purchase (sight-seen or sight-unseen) or the sale method (sight-seen or sight-unseen), mathematically the greatest chance for profit is with the NGC coin, and that is my pick.

    (edited for math image)
  • BillJonesBillJones Posts: 34,773 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I can't answer the question because I buy the coin, not the slab. I've bought some outstanding bargains in both brands of holders and sold the coins for what they were, with normal considerations for the grade on the slab. It does not matter to me if the coin is PCGS or NGC.

    I don't buy coins sight unseen except for modern Proof sets and commemorative sets which come high grades for the most part. I won't buy any other coins sight unseen without a return clause on a bet.
    Retired dealer and avid collector of U.S. type coins, 19th century presidential campaign medalets and selected medals. In recent years I have been working on a set of British coins - at least one coin from each king or queen who issued pieces that are collectible. I am also collecting at least one coin for each Roman emperor from Julius Caesar to ... ?
  • tradedollarnuttradedollarnut Posts: 20,198 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Perhaps, BUT, that wasn't the question.

    My question was :

    << It is now time for you to sell the coin - is it better if you bought/own it in a PCGS holder or an NGC holder >>


    Mark: your question is a bit ambiguous and depends on how you define 'better'. If you are looking for what's better at the time of sale, it's flat out more money in your pocket. Your purchase price is not relevant at all in that situation. If you are looking at what the best return on investment was, then you do need to know the purchase price, but not enough information is given to determine that.

    And then there's the enjoyment factor along the way.... image
  • roadrunnerroadrunner Posts: 28,313 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Questions needs no further clarification. PCGS coins bring more money almost across the board. Remember it's the same coin, it's just the holder we are talking about.

    You bought it as PCGS because it was worth more money and has a better resale value and liquidity. Now it's time to sell it and you should thank yourself that it is PCGS. Ugly or nice, better if PCGS.

    And as presented your price/ratio also favor the PCGS coin. It's a winner all around. While you may spent extra to get the PCGS you get a larger % in the end. Checkmate.

    roadrunner
    Barbarous Relic No More, LSCC -GoldSeek--shadow stats--SafeHaven--321gold
  • LindeDadLindeDad Posts: 18,766 ✭✭✭✭✭
    If coin X is the same grade/type/date coin in both cases. Then sell the NGC coin it is way on the high side of the normal ratio of values for PCGS vs. NGC. Check the normal difference on allmost any coin and PCGS coins cost more. And a lot over your spead in this case.
  • robertprrobertpr Posts: 6,862 ✭✭✭
  • robertprrobertpr Posts: 6,862 ✭✭✭


    << <i>If you are looking for what's better at the time of sale, it's flat out more money in your pocket. >>



    Yes but I believe he's asking which is better at time of purchase, not at time of sale.
  • Catch22Catch22 Posts: 1,086 ✭✭
    Assuming that neither coin was reholdered after the initial purchase, I would think that the NGC was likely purchased at a discount to the PCGS equivalent. Depending on how long ago the purchase was made, you might come out ahead with the NGC purchase...even with the discount to PCGS that currently exists.

    On the other hand, there was a time long ago that NGC commanded a higher premium and if the coin was purchased when NGC was considered the top grading company you might have been able to purchase the equivalent PCGS slabbed coin at a discount.


    When we are planning for posterity, we ought to remember that virtue is not hereditary.

    Thomas Paine
  • It doesn't matter if you bought/own it in a PCGS holder or an NGC holder because you bought the coin not the holder. Hopefully, the new buyer will also buy the coin, not the holder.
  • BillJonesBillJones Posts: 34,773 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i> PCGS coins bring more money almost across the board. >>



    NOT TRUE!!

    Those who claim this have not looked at the Blue Sheet in over a year. There are many blind bids for NGC coins that have higher bids than PCGS. To say that PCGS is better almost across the board is a gross overstatement.
    Retired dealer and avid collector of U.S. type coins, 19th century presidential campaign medalets and selected medals. In recent years I have been working on a set of British coins - at least one coin from each king or queen who issued pieces that are collectible. I am also collecting at least one coin for each Roman emperor from Julius Caesar to ... ?
  • NGC

    If "coin X" has increased in value between the time you bought and sold it, a similar increase in value of the coin (regardless of the holder) would result in a greater percentage increase when originally purchased in a less expensive holder.

    EXAMPLE:
    A) Bought $1000 (increased value of $100) sold $1100 = 10% gain
    B) Bought $900 (increased value of $100) sold $1000 = 11.1% gain

    Noticed that the coin in example A (PCGS) remains worth more than the coin in example B (NGC) however, the gain is greater in example B (NGC).


    Just an opinion, Ralph
    image
  • dizzyfoxxdizzyfoxx Posts: 9,823 ✭✭✭
    Is one nicely toned and the other blast whiteimage Then the answer would be an easy one!image
    image...There's always time for coin collecting. image


  • << <i>

    << <i> i would say it's obviously more valuable in the PCGS holder. >>

    >>





    << <i>Perhaps, BUT, that wasn't the question.

    My question was : "It is now time for you to sell the coin - is it better if you bought/own it in a PCGS holder or an NGC holder"

    Doug, I'm not picking on you, but rather, using your post as a HINT regarding the answer(s).image >>




    ya bully !
















    image


  • << <i>Coin X in a PCGS holder has a sight-unseen bid of $2410 and a sight-seen bid of $3000.
    Coin X in an NGC holder has a sight-unseen bid of $2200 and a sight-seen bid of $2700

    It is now time for you to sell the coin - is it better if you bought/own it in a PCGS holder or an NGC holder?

    IF you can answer, please humor me and explain your logic/reasoning? >>



    PCGS spread = $590

    NGC spread = $500

    with those numbers, and not knowing what the purchase price was originally, the PCGS slab is worth $90

  • relayerrelayer Posts: 10,570


    << <i>is it better if you bought/own it in a PCGS holder or an NGC holder? >>



    It depends on how much you paid for it.
    image
    My posts viewed image times
    since 8/1/6


  • << <i>Coin X in a PCGS holder has a sight-unseen bid of $2410 and a sight-seen bid of $3000.
    Coin X in an NGC holder has a sight-unseen bid of $2200 and a sight-seen bid of $2700

    It is now time for you to sell the coin - is it better if you bought/own it in a PCGS holder or an NGC holder?

    IF you can answer, please humor me and explain your logic/reasoning? >>



    PCGS since there coins are better!
    WORKING ON SEVERAL MODERN SETS. PCGS COINS ONLY FOR ME!
  • nice give away, please count me in, and i will take the pcgs
    Michael
  • dbldie55dbldie55 Posts: 7,741 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I am guessing NGC since you the downside is less. That is of course assuming that the seen/unseen has not changed.

    (or what robertpr said as I go back and read his answer)
    Collector and Researcher of Liberty Head Nickels. ANA LM-6053
  • coinguy1coinguy1 Posts: 13,484 ✭✭✭
    First, let me say that my use of the phrase “smart enough to answer this PCGS vs. NGC hypothetical” was a bit unfair, since my question wasn’t really about “smart”.

    It was, however, about lack of essential information and misconceptions.

    First, and most importantly, there is absolutely no way to know in my hypothetical, if one would have done better having bought an NGC vs. PCGS coin, without knowing what each would have cost at the time of purchase - it doesn’t matter if the PCGS coin is currently worth $1000 more than the NGC one, if, at the time of purchase, it cost $1001 or more than the NGC one cost.

    I always hear “It’s better to buy a PCGS coin because when you go to sell it, you will get more for it”. And, while a PCGS coin is often worth more, that’s nowhere near the whole story. The difference in cost must be examined too, and many seem to completely ignore that fact.

    What would be interesting and informative, would be to see a study on price spreads between various PCGS and NGC coins over time.

    Next, let’s get to the prices I included in my hypothetical.....

    The sight-unseen prices are relevant with respect to knowing a likely worst case scenario, minimum price you could get for a PCGS coin vs. an NGC coin.

    The sight-seen prices, on the other hand, might or might not indicate what a buyer would pay for each coin. Some of the sight-seen bids which are posted are legitimate ones which bidders will honor for coins that meet their sight-seen standards. Others, however, are posted in attempts to get PQ coins offered to the bidder or to try to help prop up the “values” of the bidder’s own coins.

    Finally, depending upon the quality and eye-appeal of the actual coin, it might bring a price well above the high sight-seen bid, regardless of which holder it is in.

    Please try to remember - often times it really is about the COIN and not the plastic (and accompanying grading label)!image

Leave a Comment

BoldItalicStrikethroughOrdered listUnordered list
Emoji
Image
Align leftAlign centerAlign rightToggle HTML viewToggle full pageToggle lights
Drop image/file