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Brutal Poppage...REVISITED

***SEE PAGE 2 FOR THE LATEST***

These sub results are so brutal that I will not bother to post them.

The order consisted of 109 cards ranging from 1968 through 1973. TWENTY SEVEN of them received the dreaded N1: Evidence of Trimming. The frustrating thing about this is that EIGHTEEN of these now "trimmed" cards were cracked out of PSA 9 holders, 3 from PSA 8. A few other former 9's now are 6's. OUCH!

The moral of the story: Don't crack out high grade cards, even if you are strictly a raw card collector (as I used to be).
Brett

Comments

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    ndleondleo Posts: 4,113 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I agree, cracking out vintage PSA 9's is not a good bet.

    Maybe PSA needs to get a few more subs to get their bonus, because I'm sure you are going to resub those cards.
    Mike
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    sportscardtheorysportscardtheory Posts: 1,786 ✭✭✭
    So basically you just lessened the value of some vintage PSA 9s by bumping the pop reports. Nice.
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    itzagoneritzagoner Posts: 8,753 ✭✭
    just a hunch, but i get the feeling they are trying to turn as much stuff around as fast as they possibly can before the National.

    speed kills.
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    bobbybakerivbobbybakeriv Posts: 2,186 ✭✭✭✭
    That is about as bad as it can be. Send the "trimmed" cards back in. Sorry to hear of your bad luck.
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    RonBurgundyRonBurgundy Posts: 5,491 ✭✭✭
    I don't ever send stuff in this time of year. Ever.

    I have my "blackout periods" and this is one of them.
    Ron Burgundy

    Buying Vintage, all sports.
    Buying Woody Hayes, Les Horvath, Vic Janowicz, and Jesse Owens autographed items
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    bobbybakerivbobbybakeriv Posts: 2,186 ✭✭✭✭


    << <i>I don't ever send stuff in this time of year. Ever.

    I have my "blackout periods" and this is one of them. >>



    Interesting. Is this due to the national convention being held a this time of year?
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    RonBurgundyRonBurgundy Posts: 5,491 ✭✭✭
    I don't really have a rational explanation for it. Grades are historically worse for me in July and January. I usually stop in June and wait until after the summer show season, or submit at the National (NOT for onsite grading, heavens no).

    I could theorize to say that perhaps they're tightening up in order to scrutinize stuff correctly at the National, or their going the other direction, getting careless with so much to do before the show. But that's all speculation. I just know my history and have imposed personal blackouts as a result.
    Ron Burgundy

    Buying Vintage, all sports.
    Buying Woody Hayes, Les Horvath, Vic Janowicz, and Jesse Owens autographed items
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    << <i>I don't ever send stuff in this time of year. Ever.

    I have my "blackout periods" and this is one of them. >>



    Wish you had told me this about 2 weeks ago image
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    eagles33eagles33 Posts: 2,678 ✭✭✭
    i'm interested your "black out" periods. When don't you send cards and why? I'm convinced that getting a 10 or 9 is the luck of the draw.. i also think that all cards are not graded equally. some cards like the 1990 topps traded emmitt smith card gets 10s for no reason.. i subbed one i had just to get it slabbed for my personall collection.. one edge was terrible.. it was not better than an 8 and it got a 10. I also subbed a flawless 82 topps ripken it got a 9. The biggest crap shoot are perferated cards. Somehow i got a 10 on on SI for kids usain bolt card. i was even more shocked that it sold for 150 on ebay. i was hoping to get 10 bucks for it.
    Scans of most of my Misc rookies can be found <a target=new class=ftalternatingbarlinklarge href="http://forums.collectors.com/m...y&keyword1=Non%20major">here
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    mbothnermbothner Posts: 761 ✭✭✭


    << <i>I don't ever send stuff in this time of year. Ever.
    I have my "blackout periods" and this is one of them. >>



    Hope this does not turn out to be true for me. They just logged in 322 items for me today.
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    MeferMefer Posts: 1,156 ✭✭✭
    It is, to a large degree, like reading tea leaves. Who knows. Anytime you have personal subjective opinion you will get different results. Just run any search on past threads here and you will see many posters cannot even agree on a grade. This experiment should show you why (I have not tried it):

    1. Have a friend, wife, etc. pick 100 cards from your collection and you "grade" them. Write the grades down.
    2. Mix the 100 cards up and wait another month and "grade" them again.

    Doing that, I would be hard pressed to find any of us who would issue the same grades twice. While it is probably not a perfect experiment, it should give you a gist of how difficult grading can be. I mean I could not imagine being a grader sitting in a dark room with a bright light for eight hours a day, day after day. I am sure on top of that each grader has a daily quota. Lets assume 15 seconds a card for seven hours of work a day (giving an hour of "fudge" room). That works out to 840 cards a day. Lets round that down a bit to an even 800; that would be 4,000 cards in a week. I can honestly say in my entire collecting life I have not looked at 4,000 cards with the critical view needed for "accurate" grading. Usually when I look through cards, including those for potential grading, I quickly eyeball centering. If that passes, I go to corners. If my naked eye finds a bad corner, I move on. I am then left with a short pile of good centered, good cornered cards that meet my very brief naked eyeball test. Those in the short pile are then scrutinized. I cannot imagine scrutinizing what is in my "typical" short pile 4,000 times in a week. Ugh.

    With the above in mind (and who knows, my estimates may be off), you also have to factor in feelings of the grader. Got a headache? Such will impact performance. Something outside of work bothering you? Such could impact performance. Your cards happen to be graded later in the day? That can make a difference too (one person may be more lenient later in the day because he/she is tired for example).

    Given all of the foregoing, there is unfortunately quite a bit of luck that goes into the equation. I know many, myself included, try to theorize on different things (i.e., is it better to send in a big order, group certain years together, etc.) but at the end of the day, it does to a large degree come down to luck: (1) which grader you get; (2) how they are feeling at the moment; and (3) what is their grading tendencies. On the last item, I would suspect PSA looks for each grader to stay within some average grade range. Lets just say for sake of argument that the average range of all cards graded must be 7.5. Let us further assume Grader A is averaging 8.5 on grades. I suspect in that scenario that grader is going to be told he/she needs to tighten up her standards to come within the acceptable range. Well guess what-- if your submission is next up for that grader after that discussion, your submission could be slaughtered. Conversely, if you hit that grader who is trending to low and is told to bring it up, you could hit a jack pot.

    So again, while I do not profess that any of this is actually how PSA operates, it would to me logically make sense in their business model. With that being the case, I personally look at it as a large luck factor. Unless you had a robot doing these things, I don't see how you could change it. It is of course maddening when you have a card undergraded but you never hear anyone complain (and I don't) when you get that card back that overgrades.

    Back to reading tea leaves!!

    Matt

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    hammeredhammered Posts: 2,671 ✭✭✭
    I think we had the same grader.

    I was just killed on my submission today - I sent in some '55 Bowmans for the first time ever. Here's the auction I got them from:Auction

    8 of 9 got EOT. One got PSA 8. I've bought from this seller often and I know he's not a trimmer, and I know the source where these cards originally came from. Although I could never prove it to PSA, I know with 99% certainty these aren't trimmed.

    I even called customer service today to complain (1st time I've ever done that). She said they could look at them again, but then she saw the order had already shipped.

    I agree that they rushed through these, and the grader saw one he didn't like for whatever reason and assumed the rest of the order must be the same.

    It sucks. All I can do now is resubmit them. More money to PSA.

    I guarantee most of these (if not all) will be graded next time.


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    itzagoneritzagoner Posts: 8,753 ✭✭
    dios mio......time to put away the loupe and break out the image
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    put away your knives and stop performing surgery on your ball cards
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    MBMiller25MBMiller25 Posts: 6,057 ✭✭


    << <i>put away your knives and stop performing surgery on your ball cards >>



    Great way to endear yourself to the boards Newbie!
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    bobbyw8469bobbyw8469 Posts: 7,139 ✭✭✭
    He was being sarcastic....he is a pro with the Sharpie Marker......
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    bxbbxb Posts: 805 ✭✭
    Cracking and resubbing a 9 can have several results:

    1. come back a 10
    2. comeback a 9

    3-25. something worse

    The odds are not favorable.
    Capecards
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    ymareaymarea Posts: 1,576 ✭✭✭


    << <i>Cracking and resubbing a 9 can have several results:

    1. come back a 10
    2. comeback a 9

    3-25. something worse

    The odds are not favorable. >>



    Right you are. I didn't crack them with the intent to submit, however. I bought the cards over the course of several years and cracked 'em to keep with my raw sets. I never had any real interest in graded cards and thought I would keep my collection forever. My interest in cards began to wane, albeit unexpectedly, and I decided to sell, sell, sell. There was little initial interest in my raw cards, so I decided to get into the grading game to enhance sales. For the most part it's been successful. Not this time, though.

    You win some, you lose some.
    Brett
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    Sorry to hear about your bad luck Brett. I know it's a shock to the system when you've had raw cards in your collection for so long and then get the dreaded EOT sticker slapped on them when you

    finally decide to get them graded. You lose a grade, grading fees and your left scratching your head wondering, "what just happened?". It makes you a little leary about the next submission. You just

    have to try again I guess since your sales are better graded than not. Maybe the time of year does matter for better results, you might have to what a few months. You still have some of the best raw

    cards around. Take care. Doug
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    ymareaymarea Posts: 1,576 ✭✭✭
    Here is a closer look at the sub which was the topic of the original post.

    The first group below shows the 27 cards that returned "N1" from PSA. Just for kicks, I sent 26 of them to SGC under a similar service level as the PSA group...$4.50/card. I had to omit 1968 #409 because the SGC special was for 1970-present. This was my first-ever SGC submission.

    SGC slabbed 21 cards while 5 met the same fate as they had at PSA...trimmed. Of those 5, three were formerly PSA 9's while one was once a PSA 8. All cards except one got at least 88, with most getting 96. Only 1970 Woods #253 graded low at 80. This was once in a PSA 9 holder. The back is badly discolored along the edges and should have graded a PSA 9 (PD) at best. It's very sharp and well-centered, but that back is UGLY. I assume that SGC, which doesn't use qualifiers, downgraded the card to an 80 because of the back.

    Of the 21 cards slabbed by SGC (all deemed "N1" on their previous visit to PSA), 16 used to be in PSA slabs (14-9; 2-8). In all, 20 of the 21 cards were once in PSA holders.

    Overall, I lost quite a bit in re-sale value, but that doesn't bother me (much). I found the experience to be very educational and fun.





    Order #20418202 / Submission #685477
    Line # Item # Cert # Grade Description Type Country
    2 1 17457689 N1: EVIDENCE OF TRIMMING 1968 TOPPS 409 ORIOLES ROOKIES F.PETERS/R.STONE Card US...Not sent to SGC because service level was for 1970-present.
    8 1 17457695 N1: EVIDENCE OF TRIMMING 1970 TOPPS 223 NATE OLIVER Card US
    9 1 17457696 N1: EVIDENCE OF TRIMMING 1970 TOPPS 253 RON WOODS Card US
    12 1 17457699 N1: EVIDENCE OF TRIMMING 1970 TOPPS 347 RUSS SNYDER Card US
    19 1 17457706 N1: EVIDENCE OF TRIMMING 1970 TOPPS 583 HAL LANIER Card US
    24 1 17457711 N1: EVIDENCE OF TRIMMING 1972 TOPPS 30 RICO PETROCELLI Card US...SGC also says "trimmed."
    26 1 17457713 N1: EVIDENCE OF TRIMMING 1972 TOPPS 49 WILLIE MAYS Card US...SGC also says "trimmed."
    29 1 17457716 N1: EVIDENCE OF TRIMMING 1972 TOPPS 80 TONY PEREZ Card US
    30 1 17457717 N1: EVIDENCE OF TRIMMING 1972 TOPPS 82 RON WOODS Card US
    33 1 17457720 N1: EVIDENCE OF TRIMMING 1972 TOPPS 88 A.L. R.B.I. LEADERS KILLEBREW/ROBINSON/SMITH Card US...SGC also says "trimmed."
    34 1 17457721 N1: EVIDENCE OF TRIMMING 1972 TOPPS 90 AL HOME RUN LEADERS MELTON/CASH/JACKSON Card US
    43 1 17457730 N1: EVIDENCE OF TRIMMING 1972 TOPPS 212 GRANT JACKSON Card US
    44 1 17457731 N1: EVIDENCE OF TRIMMING 1972 TOPPS 221 N.L. PLAYOFFS BUCS CHAMPS! Card US
    50 1 17457737 N1: EVIDENCE OF TRIMMING 1972 TOPPS 259 SPARKY LYLE Card US
    52 1 17457739 N1: EVIDENCE OF TRIMMING 1972 TOPPS 275 CESAR TOVAR Card US
    55 1 17457742 N1: EVIDENCE OF TRIMMING 1972 TOPPS 303 JOE PEPITONE Card US
    56 1 17457743 N1: EVIDENCE OF TRIMMING 1972 TOPPS 311 CLAY CARROLL Card US
    59 1 17457746 N1: EVIDENCE OF TRIMMING 1972 TOPPS 343 WILLIE STARGELL BOYHOOD PHOTO Card US
    60 1 17457747 N1: EVIDENCE OF TRIMMING 1972 TOPPS 345 RICK WISE BOYHOOD PHOTO Card US
    63 1 17457750 N1: EVIDENCE OF TRIMMING 1972 TOPPS 375 REGGIE CLEVELAND Card US
    65 1 17457752 N1: EVIDENCE OF TRIMMING 1972 TOPPS 424 BILL GOGOLEWSKI Card US
    66 1 17457753 N1: EVIDENCE OF TRIMMING 1972 TOPPS 458 AURELIO MONTEAGUDO Card US
    67 1 17457754 N1: EVIDENCE OF TRIMMING 1972 TOPPS 462 RICKEY CLARK Card US
    76 1 17457763 N1: EVIDENCE OF TRIMMING 1972 TOPPS 580 LOU PINIELLA Card US...SGC also says "trimmed."
    77 1 17457764 N1: EVIDENCE OF TRIMMING 1972 TOPPS 604 CHECKLIST 657-787 COPYRIGHT ON LEFT Card US
    84 1 17457771 N1: EVIDENCE OF TRIMMING 1972 TOPPS 634 DICK WOODSON Card US...SGC also says "trimmed."
    85 1 17457772 N1: EVIDENCE OF TRIMMING 1972 TOPPS 660 PAUL BLAIR Card US






    Invoice # : 8186999
    Service : 1970-PRESENT SPECIAL (10 CARD MIN)
    # of Cards : 35

    Invoice Tracking
    Status Date
    Received 07/20/2010
    Shipped 08/10/2010


    Details
    Item # Year Publisher Set Card# Player Name Description Grade
    1 1970 Topps 223 NATE OLIVER 96
    2 1970 Topps 347 RUSS SNYDER 92
    4 1970 Topps 583 HAL LANIER 96
    6 1972 Topps 30 RICO PETROCELLI 0 - T7...Raw card not previously slabbed.
    7 1972 Topps 49 WILLIE MAYS 0 - T...Cracked out of a PSA 8 holder.
    8 1972 Topps 80 TONY PEREZ 96
    9 1972 Topps 82 RON WOODS 96
    10 1972 Topps 88 A.L. RBI LEADERS 0 - T6...Cracked out of a PSA 9 holder.
    11 1972 Topps 90 A.L. HOME RUN LEADERS 88
    13 1972 Topps 212 GRANT JACKSON 96
    14 1972 Topps 221 N.L. PLAYOFFS 96
    15 1972 Topps 259 SPARKY LYLE 96
    16 1972 Topps 275 CESAR TOVAR 96
    17 1972 Topps 303 JOE PEPITONE 96
    18 1972 Topps 311 CLAY CARROLL 96
    19 1972 Topps 343 WILLIE STARGELL Boyhood Photos Of The Stars 92
    20 1972 Topps 345 RICK WISE Boyhood Photos Of The Stars 96
    21 1972 Topps 375 REGGIE CLEVELAND 96
    22 1972 Topps 424 BILL GOGOLEWSKI 96
    23 1972 Topps 458 AURELIO MONTEAGUDO 96
    24 1972 Topps 462 RICKEY CLARK 96
    25 1972 Topps 604 CHECKLIST 96
    26 1972 Topps 580 LOU PINIELLA 0 - T7...Cracked out of a PSA 9 holder.
    28 1972 Topps 634 DICK WOODSON 0 - T7...Cracked out of a PSA 9 holder.
    29 1972 Topps 660 PAUL BLAIR High# 96
    35 1970 Topps 253 RON WOODS 80



    Brett
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    brendanb438brendanb438 Posts: 1,595 ✭✭✭
    EDIT: NM see you originally cracked them for raw sets. All the more reason to never crack PSA9s unless they are modern which still doesnt make a lot of sense.
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    does this mean that PSA will now think that if you have cards that are mint they think they are trimmed?
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