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What constitutes Low Pop. on '65 Topps?

I just bought a Nearmint '65 Topps set and I'm tryinig to decide which cards to send in. What would constitute low pop. for this set? I'm only gonna send in the ones that are pretty much gauranteed to get 7,8, or 9. Does anyone know which cards are especially tough or sell for a premium out of this set?
Thanks

Comments

  • BrickBrick Posts: 5,001 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I am not familiar with this set as I only collect vintageimage However with a membership with PSA you get the population report which would be a great tool for you as many sets as you purchase and resale.
    Collecting 1960 Topps Baseball in PSA 8
    http://www.unisquare.com/store/brick/

    Ralph

  • corvette1340corvette1340 Posts: 3,384 ✭✭✭
    I have the pop. report. I am just wondering what constitutes a card from this set being tough or low pop. IE. is there a specific number that makes a card low pop.? For example, card #4 NL HR Leaders has had 69 graded 8 and 13 graded 9, is this considered low pop? Card #14 Len Grabrielson has had 32 graded in 8 and only 1 graded 9, is this low pop?
    I'm basically wanting to know which cards, stars and commons, are worth getting graded. Each set has its own tougher or short print cards but I'm not as familiar with the '65 set as I am with some of the other sets.
  • DboneesqDboneesq Posts: 18,219 ✭✭
    Corvette,

    Another way to see which ones are low pop (If you don't sign up for PSAs Pop Report) is to go to the '65 sets on The Registry and look at certain sets and see how many cards are graded higher. It's not going to give you the values but it will help you gather info to see which ones are low pop.

    HOWEVER, you can sign up for the Pop Report for one month for $3.95 (I think) and gather all the info you need for that set. I'm sure it will be well worth it! That's what I did when I was selling my '68 100% PSA graded set.

    Stay Healthy!

    Doug
    STAY HEALTHY!

    Doug

    Liquidating my collection for the 3rd and final time. Time for others to enjoy what I have enjoyed over the last several decades. Money could be put to better use.
  • DboneesqDboneesq Posts: 18,219 ✭✭
    Corvette,

    I guess I was sending my prior reply the same time you were writing your last message. Sorry, I am not very familiar with that set. I', sure you will get your answers from SOMEONE on this board.

    Stay Healthy!

    Doug
    STAY HEALTHY!

    Doug

    Liquidating my collection for the 3rd and final time. Time for others to enjoy what I have enjoyed over the last several decades. Money could be put to better use.
  • WinPitcherWinPitcher Posts: 27,726 ✭✭✭
    Card #14 Len Grabrielson has had 32 graded in 8 and only 1 graded 9, is this low pop?


    Yes it is.


    Steve
    Good for you.
  • corvette1340corvette1340 Posts: 3,384 ✭✭✭


    << <i>Card #14 Len Grabrielson has had 32 graded in 8 and only 1 graded 9, is this low pop?


    Yes it is.


    Steve >>



    thanks Steve. Are you familiar with the '65 set? Do you know of any really tough cards? I got the set finally and it is overall in great condition. I would say that over half of the cards are NearMint or better with probably one fifth that would grade 8 or better.
  • Have you checked the set registry forum? I would bet someone over there can answer your question.

    Chris
    Chris
    My small collection
    Want List:
    '61 Topps Roy Campanella in PSA 5-7
    Cardinal T206 cards
    Adam Wainwright GU Jersey
  • Try here.

    Chris
    Chris
    My small collection
    Want List:
    '61 Topps Roy Campanella in PSA 5-7
    Cardinal T206 cards
    Adam Wainwright GU Jersey
  • corvette1340corvette1340 Posts: 3,384 ✭✭✭


    << <i>Try here.

    Chris >>



    thanks Chris, quite helpful.
  • MorgothMorgoth Posts: 3,950 ✭✭✭
    Copy and paste the 65 Pop report into excel. Delete all grades below PSA 8. Delete all qualifier rows. Add a column adding up all the 8s through 10s. This tells you how many high grade examples per card have been graded. The top of the Pop Report shows the total numbers graded and per grade for the entire set. Use this to figure the average number of 8s through 10s for a card in the set.

    Typical might be-

    An average card in the 65 set has 55 8s, 10 9s and 1 10.

    Finally rank the cards in order based on rarity (total cards graded 8-10).

    This anaysis will answer most of your questions on rarity. You can see if a card has lower or higher high grades for the submission rate and you can see how it ranks in pure total amounts versus other cards in the set. Excel has helpful little data filters to make this step easy.

    I also use the percentage of cards graded 8-10 to help correct for submission amount differences. I also use t-tests or differences from the the mean to help correct for submission differences. Normally the lower the submission amount of 60s sets the higher grade concentration you will find, but once you get closer to the average number submitted the grades tend to look more normal, if not you might have a truly hard to find in high grade card. To use this analysis you need to know what the normal grade distribution looks like and what makes an outlier but you can ususally eyeball it but when investing thousands on 1 "low pop" card I would rather do my homework.

    I would like to end by saying the 61 Joe Gibbon isn't that rare so someone please sell one to me for $150 image
    Currently completing the following registry sets: Cardinal HOF's, 1961 Pittsburgh Pirates Team, 1972 Pittsburgh Pirates Team, 1980 Pittsburgh Pirates Team, Bill Mazeroski Master & Basic Sets, Roberto Clemente Master & Basic Sets, Willie Stargell Master & Basic Sets and Terry Bradshaw Basic Set
  • markj111markj111 Posts: 2,921 ✭✭✭
    Good advice. BTW, the 61 Gibbon has really dropped in price. You might get it for $150 in 8 one day.
  • how about some scans of the cards your considering sending in?
  • corvette1340corvette1340 Posts: 3,384 ✭✭✭


    << <i>how about some scans of the cards your considering sending in? >>



    I'll get some scans tomorrow when I get back to my office. The stars Im gonna send in include the Morgan Rookie, Clemente, Maris, Kaline, Banks, and Niekro Rookie among others. The Mantle has a slight printing defect but other than that its NM-NM/MT.
  • corvette1340corvette1340 Posts: 3,384 ✭✭✭
    Here are some scans of some of the ones I'm sending in. I also have 33 more that are either minty common or low pop such as the Pepitone, Carty, Alou, and Gabrielson.

    image
    image
    image
  • MorgothMorgoth Posts: 3,950 ✭✭✭
    Very nice, looks like 7s and 8s to me. Some qualifiers as well. I just traded for a nm/mint 1975 Set and it looks similar.
    Currently completing the following registry sets: Cardinal HOF's, 1961 Pittsburgh Pirates Team, 1972 Pittsburgh Pirates Team, 1980 Pittsburgh Pirates Team, Bill Mazeroski Master & Basic Sets, Roberto Clemente Master & Basic Sets, Willie Stargell Master & Basic Sets and Terry Bradshaw Basic Set
  • RonBurgundyRonBurgundy Posts: 5,491 ✭✭✭
    Let's see the Carty and Gabrielson.




    Ron
    Ron Burgundy

    Buying Vintage, all sports.
    Buying Woody Hayes, Les Horvath, Vic Janowicz, and Jesse Owens autographed items
  • corvette1340corvette1340 Posts: 3,384 ✭✭✭


    << <i>Let's see the Carty and Gabrielson.




    Ron >>



    Already have them in the mail. The Carty is well centered with sharp corners. The Gabrielson doesnt have quite as good centering but corners are sharp.
  • WinPitcherWinPitcher Posts: 27,726 ✭✭✭
    Nice looking batch of cards, did you get any that have a chance at getting a 10?

    The Yaz looks like a really nice example.

    Steve
    Good for you.
  • corvette1340corvette1340 Posts: 3,384 ✭✭✭
    Im not sure, I've never actually sent a vintage card off that came back a 10, but I've gotten a few 9's and some of them I can't see any flaws with.
  • BasiloneBasilone Posts: 2,492 ✭✭
    How times have changed. Back in 2002, there was still one card that still did not grade out as a PSA 8.


    Wayne8348
    Veteran

    Posts: 884
    Joined: Dec 2001
    Thursday March 14, 2002 11:04 AM



    Since I'm doing the 65 set in PSA 8 the hardest card for me is #46 bob lee because it doesn't exist.

    Wayne

    -------------------------
    1955 Bowman Football
  • WinPitcherWinPitcher Posts: 27,726 ✭✭✭
    John, back in 02 that could be said for prolly a number of sets.

    Steve

    Good for you.
  • qualitycardsqualitycards Posts: 2,811 ✭✭✭
    I worked on this set the same time John & Wayne did and did some transactions w/ both,
    worked on it till 2005.
    From memory, the tougher ones were C. Smith, Lee (as stated), both Blasingames, Fairly, Carty, A. Johnson.
    It seemed the low # series was a bit tougher then in high grade then the high #'s
    Had fun w/ the set, might give it a whirl again in the future.
  • nam812nam812 Posts: 10,601 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Maris and Kaline look like the best 2 from the scans. Good luck.
  • stevekstevek Posts: 30,241 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I hope they all come back graded high - but on the key cards, sorry to say I don't see any straight 8's there - hope I'm wrong. Good luck!
  • corvette1340corvette1340 Posts: 3,384 ✭✭✭


    << <i>I hope they all come back graded high - but on the key cards, sorry to say I don't see any straight 8's there - hope I'm wrong. Good luck! >>



    the Kaline and Maris have to be 8's at least. I have a ton of 8's that don't look anywhere near that good. I also think the Morgan Rookie, Yaz, and a few others could be 8's. Also, the Stengal and Tiant Rookie could be 8's and the Niekro Rookie is an absolute blazer. I think it might be an 8 or 8.5. The Yankees Team, Dodgers Team, and Cepeda have possibilities too.
  • WinPitcherWinPitcher Posts: 27,726 ✭✭✭
    He spent all of 4.00 per card (actually less then that) Add in the 6.00 or so bucks per card to grade
    and for 10.00 per he got a slew of Hall of famers, a bunch of rookie cards and possibly some low pop 8's.

    If that Maris pulls a 9 that is a 700.00 card right there, the Mantle is a 200.00 card the way it sits raw.

    Will he make a bundle on this set? No, he will though have fun and in the process make a lil dough.

    The key is to get at least one or two home runs. (cards that grade a 9 that sell for moon money or 8's that do the same)

    One thing about this set 9's are not that hard to find, plenty of that product exists too.

    If he was to have the entire set graded IMO it would grade out at 6.75-7.25 That has been my experience anyway
    when buying sets like that off ebay. I could be wrong, but then again I have to pose a contrary opinion to Stevek
    whenever I can.



    image


    Steve
    Good for you.
  • stevekstevek Posts: 30,241 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>

    << <i>I hope they all come back graded high - but on the key cards, sorry to say I don't see any straight 8's there - hope I'm wrong. Good luck! >>



    the Kaline and Maris have to be 8's at least. I have a ton of 8's that don't look anywhere near that good. I also think the Morgan Rookie, Yaz, and a few others could be 8's. Also, the Stengal and Tiant Rookie could be 8's and the Niekro Rookie is an absolute blazer. I think it might be an 8 or 8.5. >>



    So tough sometimes to tell corners on scans. If there's "fraying" at the four corners, they're gonna be 7's at best which is typical of well stored "shoebox" cards. If the corners are wear free, you've got a nice shot at some valuable winners there, and of course nothing wrong at all with 1965 Topps PSA 7's - I didn't look at the scans real long but to me only the Rose is I think a definite 6, and of course you can see the obvious OC cards. Very nice cards in any event.
  • RonBurgundyRonBurgundy Posts: 5,491 ✭✭✭
    I agree...............with Nick. Kaline and Maris look like the best 2 cards. Stengel, Tiant, and Niekro look nice too. I think the Yaz looks short.




    RB
    Ron Burgundy

    Buying Vintage, all sports.
    Buying Woody Hayes, Les Horvath, Vic Janowicz, and Jesse Owens autographed items
  • stevekstevek Posts: 30,241 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>He spent all of 4.00 per card (actually less then that) Add in the 6.00 or so bucks per card to grade
    and for 10.00 per he got a slew of Hall of famers, a bunch of rookie cards and possibly some low pop 8's.

    If that Maris pulls a 9 that is a 700.00 card right there, the Mantle is a 200.00 card the way it sits raw.

    Will he make a bundle on this set? No, he will though have fun and in the process make a lil dough.

    The key is to get at least one or two home runs. (cards that grade a 9 that sell for moon money or 8's that do the same)

    One thing about this set 9's are not that hard to find, plenty of that product exists too.

    If he was to have the entire set graded IMO it would grade out at 6.75-7.25 That has been my experience anyway
    when buying sets like that off ebay. I could be wrong, but then again I have to pose a contrary opinion to Stevek
    whenever I can.



    image


    Steve >>



    Not disagreeing with basically anything you said there Steve - and I know you stated you once owned a high grade 1965 set so I would consider you a bit of an expert on that set. image

    I as well have owned, bought and sold, and still own many, many 1965 Topps baseball cards - one of my favorite years of Topps.

    Hope the OP posts the PSA card scans when they arrive and gets some nice 8's and 9's there, and do I dare say some 10's? That would be great.
  • corvette1340corvette1340 Posts: 3,384 ✭✭✭


    << <i>

    << <i>He spent all of 4.00 per card (actually less then that) Add in the 6.00 or so bucks per card to grade
    and for 10.00 per he got a slew of Hall of famers, a bunch of rookie cards and possibly some low pop 8's.

    If that Maris pulls a 9 that is a 700.00 card right there, the Mantle is a 200.00 card the way it sits raw.

    Will he make a bundle on this set? No, he will though have fun and in the process make a lil dough.

    The key is to get at least one or two home runs. (cards that grade a 9 that sell for moon money or 8's that do the same)

    One thing about this set 9's are not that hard to find, plenty of that product exists too.

    If he was to have the entire set graded IMO it would grade out at 6.75-7.25 That has been my experience anyway
    when buying sets like that off ebay. I could be wrong, but then again I have to pose a contrary opinion to Stevek
    whenever I can.



    image


    Steve >>



    Not disagreeing with basically anything you said there Steve - and I know you stated you once owned a high grade 1965 set so I would consider you a bit of an expert on that set. image

    I as well have owned, bought and sold, and still own many, many 1965 Topps baseball cards - one of my favorite years of Topps.

    Hope the OP posts the PSA card scans when they arrive and gets some nice 8's and 9's there, and do I dare say some 10's? That would be great. >>



    Im certainly not holding my breath for any 10's as I have never had a vintage 10. Im also not expecting any 9's although that would be great. I basically have $2550 in the set now and have 60 off to PSA. I don't think Im gonna lose any money even if I don't hit any home runs but if I hit a few then I should do pretty well. Also, do any of you know lsutigers/Bill Holler personally? I'm putting a lot of faith in him as is everyone else with this group bulk sub.
  • WinPitcherWinPitcher Posts: 27,726 ✭✭✭
    I would have thought that you would have sent in the best 100 cards at 6.00 each and then not worry about mailing them 4 different times.

    Or is it set up where PSA returns the cards to each person? Sorry but I did not stay abreast of that thread.


    Steve
    Good for you.
  • WinPitcherWinPitcher Posts: 27,726 ✭✭✭
    Not disagreeing with basically anything you said there Steve -



    Shirt that is a first.

    Steve


    image
    Good for you.
  • WinPitcherWinPitcher Posts: 27,726 ✭✭✭
    Walt Bond is another that is a low pop.

    Keep us informed on how these cards grade.

    Good luck!


    Steve
    Good for you.
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