Week One Locks?
gosteelers
Posts: 2,668 ✭✭✭
in Sports Talk
No point spreads, just winners...how would you rank these teams in order of ease of win. I'm not including the Pats because that's a given.
Eagles (home vs. Rams)
Colts (home-in new stadium- vs. Bears)
Chargers (home vs. Panthers)
Steelers (home vs. Texans-makes me a little nervous)
Lions (road vs. Falcons)
Any other games that stick out to anybody?
Eagles (home vs. Rams)
Colts (home-in new stadium- vs. Bears)
Chargers (home vs. Panthers)
Steelers (home vs. Texans-makes me a little nervous)
Lions (road vs. Falcons)
Any other games that stick out to anybody?
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Comments
<< <i>the way the browns corner backs looked in preseason. id say the cowboys will win pretty easy >>
I forgot about the Cowboys, you're right...
[Edited]: to add I agree with the other picks.
But sometimes don’t make sense
Refrigerator
Collecting 1970s Topps baseball wax, rack and cello packs, as well as PCGS graded Half Cents, Large Cents, Two Cent pieces and Three Cent Silver pieces.
<< <i>The Eagles are sitting on a monster season. >>
ah, no actually that's a jelly donut.
<< <i>No point spreads, just winners...how would you rank these teams in order of ease of win. I'm not including the Pats because that's a given.
Eagles (home vs. Rams)
Colts (home-in new stadium- vs. Bears)
Chargers (home vs. Panthers)
Steelers (home vs. Texans-makes me a little nervous)
Lions (road vs. Falcons)
Any other games that stick out to anybody? >>
Always seems funny when somebody might consider the Lions to be a lock for anything other than a crappy season. Honestly, I expect some surprising things from them this year for a change. I sincerely feel like they've made enough improvements to actually not only contend for, but to make the playoffs and possibly win their division. They've either maintained or improved at every position with one glaring (and possibly most important) position. The OL. Cherilus will likely start in the weeks to come, but apparently didn't make enough strides to start immediately. If this team ever decided to commit an entire draft to this position (OL), they would not only turn the corner but likely cut it right off.
Happy about the signing of Rudi, if he can return to form. But no telling if it will help much with the OL play.
Edited To add: I know it's only against Atlanta, but still it is the Lions we're talking about
<< <i>The Eagles are sitting on a monster season. >>
Steve, just stop that right now. This year the Eagles will go 9-7 and Mcnadd will only play in 10 games.
It's gonna be a bad year in the City of Brotherly Love
1994 Pro Line Live
TheDallasCowboyBackfieldProject
<< <i>No point spreads, just winners...how would you rank these teams in order of ease of win. I'm not including the Pats because that's a given.
Eagles (home vs. Rams)
Colts (home-in new stadium- vs. Bears)
Chargers (home vs. Panthers)
Steelers (home vs. Texans-makes me a little nervous)
Lions (road vs. Falcons)
Any other games that stick out to anybody? >>
Eagles (got 'em -6
Colts
Chargers
Steelers but way below the other three - this will be close
I actually think Detroit loses
The Eagles are the closest thing to a lock in this group because they should undoubtedly be improved and they are at home against a bad team, but the Rams could actually surprise a few people this year. They still have Bulger/S.Jackson/Holt and if their draft pick Long is any good they could have the best D line in the league.
So who is going to be this year's Browns, Packers or Giants? That's the million dollar question.
<< <i>Vegas is full of broke people who bet on the favorites in weeks 1-4. >>
Confucious say: Never bet a road fave at -3 or more. Ever. No matter how good it looks.
Now, the opposite of this is not true-- you shouldn't be rushing to the counter to bet every home dog of +3 or more, since this will also eventually land you in the poorhouse. It's just that betting road faves will get you there much, much faster.
Browns are overrated and will be exposed this year.
San Diego and New England will win.
So Straight up without points my picks would be;
Philadelphia
Dallas
San Diego
New England
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
<< <i>No point spreads, just winners...how would you rank these teams in order of ease of win. I'm not including the Pats because that's a given.
Eagles (home vs. Rams)
Colts (home-in new stadium- vs. Bears)
Chargers (home vs. Panthers)
Steelers (home vs. Texans-makes me a little nervous)
Lions (road vs. Falcons)
Any other games that stick out to anybody? >>
Isn't the NFL great? 2 of these 5 "locks" lost outright, the 5th still to play.
<< <i>You have to remember this is the beginning of the season and what happened last year (and most of the preseason) is almost never a good gauge of what will happen this year. Some of last years teams that were great (Colts, Steelers, Cowboys) might not be nearly as good as they were, while other teams who were awful (Raiders, 49ers, Panthers) could be a lot better. I wouldn't touch the Chargers-Panthers game, I wouldn't touch the Colts with an injured Manning against a good D, I wouldn't touch an overrated Steelers against an up-and-coming Texans, and I wouldn't touch an average Lions team on the road against anybody. I also wouldn't touch the Cowboys in Cleveland against a team that can put up 50 points.
The Eagles are the closest thing to a lock in this group because they should undoubtedly be improved and they are at home against a bad team, but the Rams could actually surprise a few people this year. They still have Bulger/S.Jackson/Holt and if their draft pick Long is any good they could have the best D line in the league.
So who is going to be this year's Browns, Packers or Giants? That's the million dollar question. >>
Lee...good calls on the Steelers and Cowboys...FYI, someone as smart as you should know the Browns are overrated...
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
<< <i>
<< <i>No point spreads, just winners...how would you rank these teams in order of ease of win. I'm not including the Pats because that's a given.
Eagles (home vs. Rams)
Colts (home-in new stadium- vs. Bears)
Chargers (home vs. Panthers)
Steelers (home vs. Texans-makes me a little nervous)
Lions (road vs. Falcons)
Any other games that stick out to anybody? >>
Eagles (got 'em -6
Colts
Chargers
Steelers but way below the other three - this will be close
I actually think Detroit loses >>
Brian is the best sports handicapper I have ever seen...and believe me i've seen a lot of them...a lot. I've never seen anybody even close to being as good as him. I still don't think anybody can beat the bookies in the long-run, because the bookies can have a margin of error and still win because of the juice, but Brian amazes me that he rarely makes a mistake in his basic game analysis and calls.
Collecting 1970s Topps baseball wax, rack and cello packs, as well as PCGS graded Half Cents, Large Cents, Two Cent pieces and Three Cent Silver pieces.
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
<< <i>Chargers lost on the field. >>
Yes it was on the field but with a last second "miracle" touchdown.. But yes it of course still counted. I don't know what the money line was but that's a hechuva brutal way to lose a bet.
Also, I should mention that I don't bet any serious money on sports and never have. I know betting sports is like throwing money away, but dammit it makes the games fun to watch.
Way to go out on a limb Lee
Todays version of Jimmy the Greek i tell ya
Dave
<< <i>gosteelers, I think you missed my point. My point is that going into week one you don't know which of the "good" teams are actually good and which of the "bad" teams are actually bad. I didn't say anybody would win or lose, I just said that people bet too heavily on favorites in the early weeks and that's a stupid way to go. Look at the other games I wouldn't touch: Chargers, Lions, Colts (in progress, not looking good)- these teams are clearly not as good as everybody thought they would be. If I bet $500 on all the games I said I would not touch, I would be up a decent amount ($1500 or so if the Bears win). All I'm saying is there are no locks (and therefore don't bet the favorites) in week one.
Also, I should mention that I don't bet any serious money on sports and never have. I know betting sports is like throwing money away, but dammit it makes the games fun to watch. >>
An old gambler's saying is the next best thing to gambling and winning, is gambling and losing.
Collecting 1970s Topps baseball wax, rack and cello packs, as well as PCGS graded Half Cents, Large Cents, Two Cent pieces and Three Cent Silver pieces.
<< <i>
<< <i>gosteelers, I think you missed my point. My point is that going into week one you don't know which of the "good" teams are actually good and which of the "bad" teams are actually bad. I didn't say anybody would win or lose, I just said that people bet too heavily on favorites in the early weeks and that's a stupid way to go. Look at the other games I wouldn't touch: Chargers, Lions, Colts (in progress, not looking good)- these teams are clearly not as good as everybody thought they would be. If I bet $500 on all the games I said I would not touch, I would be up a decent amount ($1500 or so if the Bears win). All I'm saying is there are no locks (and therefore don't bet the favorites) in week one.
Also, I should mention that I don't bet any serious money on sports and never have. I know betting sports is like throwing money away, but dammit it makes the games fun to watch. >>
An old gambler's saying is the next best thing to gambling and winning, is gambling and losing.
When it comes to betting the NFL (which nobody can beat against widely available lines, I'm all but convinced of that) the next best thing to betting and winning is drinking and thinking about all the money you've saved.
<< <i>
<< <i>
<< <i>gosteelers, I think you missed my point. My point is that going into week one you don't know which of the "good" teams are actually good and which of the "bad" teams are actually bad. I didn't say anybody would win or lose, I just said that people bet too heavily on favorites in the early weeks and that's a stupid way to go. Look at the other games I wouldn't touch: Chargers, Lions, Colts (in progress, not looking good)- these teams are clearly not as good as everybody thought they would be. If I bet $500 on all the games I said I would not touch, I would be up a decent amount ($1500 or so if the Bears win). All I'm saying is there are no locks (and therefore don't bet the favorites) in week one.
Also, I should mention that I don't bet any serious money on sports and never have. I know betting sports is like throwing money away, but dammit it makes the games fun to watch. >>
An old gambler's saying is the next best thing to gambling and winning, is gambling and losing.
When it comes to betting the NFL (which nobody can beat against widely available lines, I'm all but convinced of that) the next best thing to betting and winning is drinking and thinking about all the money you've saved. >>
<< <i>
<< <i>Chargers lost on the field. >>
Yes it was on the field but with a last second "miracle" touchdown.. But yes it of course still counted. I don't know what the money line was but that's a hechuva brutal way to lose a bet. >>
The line was 9. I picked 4 games this week. 3 of the games were teams getting 9 or better. The biggest dogs on the board. The other games was the Cowboys over an overrated Browns team.
Carolina +9 Carolina 26 San Diego 24 Win
Kansas City +16.5 New England 17 Kansas City 10 Win
Dallas -5 Dallas 28 Cleveland 10 Win
Chicago +9.5 Chicago 22 Indianapolis 13 Starting the 4th quarter
I don't think I'll pick another game all year and go out a winner.
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
<< <i>
<< <i>
<< <i>Chargers lost on the field. >>
Yes it was on the field but with a last second "miracle" touchdown.. But yes it of course still counted. I don't know what the money line was but that's a hechuva brutal way to lose a bet. >>
The line was 9. I picked 4 games this week. 3 of the games were teams getting 9 or better. The biggest dogs on the board. The other games was the Cowboys over an overrated Browns team.
Carolina +9 Carolina 26 San Diego 24 Win
Kansas City +16.5 New England 17 Kansas City 10 Win
Dallas -5 Dallas 28 Cleveland 10 Win
Chicago +9.5 Chicago 22 Indianapolis 13 Starting the 4th quarter
I don't think I'll pick another game all year and go out a winner.
A dime parlay woulda been nice - On Tuesday your local bookie may have been tough to find - he might not answer the doorbell if he saw you coming to collect. LOL
<< <i> Brian is the best sports handicapper I have ever seen...and believe me i've seen a lot of them...a lot. I've never seen anybody even close to being as good as him. I still don't think anybody can beat the bookies in the long-run, because the bookies can have a margin of error and still win because of the juice, but Brian amazes me that he rarely makes a mistake in his basic game analysis and calls. >>
Thanks Steve. I'll admit, I'm happy if I tread water in the NFL. Over the course of the past few college seasons, I've made some money, but I play the NFL as simply entertainment to ensure I don't give back my Saturday winnings on Sunday.
Call me a masochist, but I love the Bungholes and Skins today...