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How do you value "genuine" coins?
Bustdollar59
Posts: 80
Seems like everyday someone writes about a coin coming back either bodybagged or with a genuine holder. My question is: If I were interested in a coin in a upcoming auction that received a genuine holder for questionable color how does that affect the value? The coin is still worth $$, but what percentage of the value of a graded coin is it? I have never purchased a Gen. so I don't have any experience with this. I look forward to a lively discussion!
Thanks,
Mike
Thanks,
Mike
0
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for more that book. If I don't need it, it will sell for half price.
Seriously, what coin are you thinking about? Is it ultra rare or common?
A series that is highly collected or one that few collect?
too many questions to give a good answer.
bob
I think to myself, would I rather have this coin (with genuineness in damage, color, surfaces, whatever is wrong with it) or a lower graded, generally accepted as problem free coin.
So, if it's, for example, an old coin with VF detail, but a big hole, I might value it as a VG, meaning I'd rather have this nice detail and surfaces, with the hole, than a worn-to-VG-but-no-other-damage coin of the same type and date, but would rather have a nice Fine than this one.
Since you specifically mention Genuine for questionable color, I'm assuming it's a more recent coin than 200 years old and it's probably Unc.
The same math would apply, what does the coin grade without the defect, how much does it hurt the eye appeal, and how low would I have to go before I'd prefer the coin over problem free. Hell, maybe it's worth more outside a Genuine slab if the color is reasonably plausible. If it were obviously fake color, it wouldn't be "questionable", it would be "artificial toning" or "altered surface" code, wouldn't it?
Liberty: Parent of Science & Industry
As with any pricing, auction archives, can be a good place to get an idea. For toners, the auction price can be all over the place. Let me be Captain Obvious by pointing out that the hammer price at auction is set by the top two bidders. This means that all the other bidders are placing a lower price. So if the responders to the thread were the bidders, the top two replies would set the hammer price. If a person isn't willing to pay that high, they aren't going to win. Some replying may never win a problem coin in open auction.
Another thing to consider is that problem coins are easy to buy, not so easy to sell. Some collectors don't want them at all. Dealers often cut their cash bids way back if offered such coins, more so if they are relatively common coins. If a collector mostly sells to dealers, they can anticipate a significant haircut when buying problem coins at auction, and selling at wholesale to a dealer.
Doggedly collecting coins of the Central American Republic.
Visit the Society of US Pattern Collectors at USPatterns.com.
Interesting; does it look anything like your avatar? high grade bust dollars are prone to being dipped and then retoning of various combinations of lucky nature or skillful nurture.
If attractive to very attractive, it could bring AU money at auction. Maybe less, maybe more, it all really depends on if the bidders likes it as it is or want to try again (either resubmission, cracking allowing some more toning in an envelope or something, orstripping and trying again with the toning) note I'm not advocating anything, just describing the market for such pieces. As other responders have noted, there are those who won't even consider a coin only slabbed "genuine", even at a steep discount.
Liberty: Parent of Science & Industry
I don't think it's a good idea to decide that all "genuine" coins are worth X percent of the value of the same coin in a graded holder. If you are unwilling to pay more in some cases, you may miss out on owning a nice coin.
By the same token, you may think that a particular genuine coin is worth less than the percentage you would normally pay for other genuine coins.
I know that, generally, I would be willing to pay more for a genuine Chain Cent or Pine Tree Shilling than I would for a common date Morgan Dollar.
For the most part, I feel that the genuine holder is a value killer. Others may argue, but the very question that the OP has raised is a main factor here. Placing valuation in the hands of the collectors gives us NO basis whatsoever on a consistant level to evaluate the coin. Of course, an auction situation will resolve this, but only in the case of a coin which is of widespread interst and has enough specimens in genuine holders to create a value base (rare early copper comes to mind here).
While I am on this subject, another factor which though not related to value...is the lack of inclusion in the population numbers of Genuine slabbed coins. How much 'work' would it be for PCGS to create this slot in the pop reports? Probably very little work...but it would give collectors of very low population coins a very valuable piece of information.
I only have ONE genuine holdered coin, and that happens to be one of the rarest and most significant coins in the gold dollar series, the 1856-D. I remember taking a real drubbing from certain forum members for its purchase, but also remember a few who seen the value here and encouraged me to purchase. So, for $1499 I now have a coin in the collection which I grade AU50-AU55....which is an 8-12K coin in those grades. The problem? Code 82 Filed Rims...which means at some point the reeding no doubt had some solder from a mount which has been removed. Though, I cant be sure of this because any change from the minted condition is now hidden within the gasket of the holder. Would I buy it all over again? You bet I would...with only maybe 60-80 surviving pieces, it is offered so infrequently that this example may be my ONLY opportunity to fill that slot at anywhere near that price...ever. I certainly would like to get a higher registry value for it, thats for sure!
In the case of a 1799 cent I purchased recently, I sent scans to several of the copper guys on the forum to get their opinions as to value, prior to acquiring it. When the time came to make the purchase, the asking price was well below the values of the respected opinions (but still nearly four figures!), so that made the decision much easier. Most of the known genuine 1799 cents do have problems, and it has been authenticated by both Bob Grellman and Chris McAwley, among others, so this is a problem coin I don't mind owning.
With Questionable Color... and Altered Surfaces and Improperly Cleaned ... these opinions can and do change over different submissions... like it or not .. that is the reality... (note that this new technology with secure plus may minimize the opinion changes... time will tell)
BUY THE COIN NOT THE HOLDER ... and how to value it is about as subjective as grading... just look at some of the moon prices folks are willing to spend... and when it is time to sell, they either find another moonwalker or take a loss...
I always try to remember that the "true' value of anything... is based soley on an agreement between involved parties... it is not an absolute that is carved in stone (and even a stone can erode or crack over time )
<< <i>25% of it's net grade value >>
Really? Do you have any PCGS "Genuine" twenty-cent pieces you would like to sell? I'll take them all.
Lane
See http://www.doubledimes.com for a free online reference for US twenty-cent pieces
much generally does the "genuine" label effect value vs. a problem free graded coin. Since I don't have the budget to purchase the rarities, my evaluation is based on the more common coins which would not hold
a premium for most.
My hunch is that problem coins are bargains right now. (That is, coins that have been properly identified as having problems, as opposed to all the doctored coins out there waiting to suck value out of the market and peoples' collections) An XF Draped Bust Eagle runs maybe $8000-9000, whereas one certified "genuine not gradeable" but AU to Unc. in appearance except for minor problems can be had for about half that. A coin that might otherwise cost $1000 might sell for maybe $100 or so. It's a good way to fill an otherwise stubborn or unfulfillable spot in a collection, and it might be the only way for us plebeians to own gold minted in Charlotte or Dahlonega, or that pesky 1911-D quarter eagle, the $5000 coin in a tiny series of otherwise $300 coins in AU.
Good luck with the bidding.
Leo
The more qualities observed in a coin, the more desirable that coin becomes!
My Jefferson Nickel Collection
Recently, he asked if he could return the coin. So, I'm buying it back at 85% of the sale price. Even though he cracked it out, I'll take the coin at $850 and crack it out of the NGC genuine holder for a new type set being put together. I value the coin as worthy of collecting. He valued it at "bullion' prices and will accept the loss for his doings, just to get out from under a coin he "valued" higher. <shrug>
He will lose $180, and I will spend $100 more for the coin than I originally paid. Do the math. How much did I waste sending the coin in to PCGS ? Or better yet, how much "value" was added by the plastic ?
Michael Kittle Rare Coins --- 1908-S Indian Head Cent Grading Set --- No. 1 1909 Mint Set --- Kittlecoins on Facebook --- Long Beach Table 448
Worry is the interest you pay on a debt you may not owe.
<< <i>25% of it's net grade value >>
That might work if it were net graded. but most of the time the seller is doing the grading not the slabber.
We'll use our hands and hearts and if we must we'll use our heads.
<< <i>Here's one way to do it. Look at the problem coin and assume you already own it. Now, consider the lowest problem-free grade of the same issue that you would seriously consider taking in trade for your coin, even up. (Forget about the money. Focus on the coins.) It's easy enough to figure the value of the lower-grade problem-free coin. And the higher-grade problem coin should be worth roughly the same amount, at least to you. >>
This is reasonable, sort of along the lines of EAC-type net grading. Since the OP specifically mentioned questionable color, it is worth pointing out possible other problems. Sometimes artificial toning is added to make tooling or harsh cleaning (hairlines) more difficult to discover, so be careful.
RMR: 'Wer, wenn ich schriee, hörte mich denn aus der Engel Ordnungen?'
CJ: 'No one!' [Ain't no angels in the coin biz]
I think it depends on the individual coin, your budget, your goals, etc. - there have also been times that I have not agreed with PCGS or NGC.
Having said that, I don't intend to make a habit out of buying "genuine" graded coins....but they have their place.
Pete
Louis Armstrong
Great question.
Mr Eureka's answer is brilliant to get you to an answer of value to you, and probably other knowledgeable collectors.
I've been told a similar method on pricing something you want to sell
but have no clue where to set it, is to look at yourself in a mirror and quote sell prices to yourself and as long as your smiling and feeling good
the price is too high . At the point you grimace thats the the right price to sell.
Krueger