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is there any way to gage how much hoarded change is making its way back into circulation?

291fifth291fifth Posts: 24,817 ✭✭✭✭✭
I can hear those piggy banks being broken open ...
All glory is fleeting.

Comments

  • CaptHenwayCaptHenway Posts: 33,066 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Check Coinstar's annual reports. Billions of coins handled per year.
    TD
    Numismatist. 54 year member ANA. Former ANA Senior Authenticator. Winner of four ANA Heath Literary Awards; three Wayte and Olga Raymond Literary Awards; Numismatist of the Year Award 2009, and Lifetime Achievement Award 2020. Author "The Enigmatic Lincoln Cents of 1922," due out late 2025.
  • RYKRYK Posts: 35,800 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>Check Coinstar's annual reports. Billions of coins handled per year.
    TD >>


    Increasingly, I don't get this CoinStar thing. I can take loose change to my bank and get 100% back. Why give up 8% (or whatever)?
  • PerryHallPerryHall Posts: 47,057 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>

    << <i>Check Coinstar's annual reports. Billions of coins handled per year.
    TD >>


    Increasingly, I don't get this CoinStar thing. I can take loose change to my bank and get 100% back. Why give up 8% (or whatever)? >>



    Why even accumulate loose change? Just spend it as you get it.

    Worry is the interest you pay on a debt you may not owe.
    "Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value---zero."----Voltaire
    "Everything you say should be true, but not everything true should be said."----Voltaire

  • Convience.........

    It is same reason people pay 10-100% more for milk, bread, etc at 7-11 rather than buying at supermarket.
  • tahoe98tahoe98 Posts: 11,388 ✭✭✭

    is there any way to gage how much hoarded change is making its way back into circulation?

    ....one way is try and get new rolled coins from the bank. image the teller will say "this is all we can get" and they would

    be coins brought in by customers, sent back to the reserve, then returned wrapped for re-circulation for the bank

    customers.
    "government is not reason, it is not eloquence-it is a force! like fire, it is a dangerous servant and a fearful master; never for a moment should it be left to irresponsible action." George Washington
  • notwilightnotwilight Posts: 12,864 ✭✭✭
    You could probably gauge it by how much new change is being introduced by how much is normally introduced but I don't know where you would get those numbers in a timely manner. --Jerry
  • Probably the best answer would be to compare average mint production numbers for say 2004-2007 period vs. 2008-2009.

    Difference would be a rough guide to combination of decrease in demand and return of coins from hoards to circulation.
  • WalmannWalmann Posts: 2,806
    In addition to the reduced economic activity, one of the main reasons for fewer circulation coin being struck by the Mint is the amount of change being turned in at the banks.

    That and roll searching should show an increase in frequency of earlier dates.
  • shorecollshorecoll Posts: 5,447 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Some banks really hassle you about bringing in change. Also Coinstar isn't a bad deal if you're an Amazon, etc. customer, you get 100% on a gift card. The merchant eats a negotiated lower fee, and you don't have to wrap them. My kids have always wrapped ours, but there seems to be a fairly heavy tax involved.image
    ANA-LM, NBS, EAC
  • cladkingcladking Posts: 28,952 ✭✭✭✭✭
    It's a tall order.

    These are all net flows and it's very difficult to see any of them from the outside. The best bet
    might be to call up your local FED and just ask.

    You have to know the change in the needs of commerce and this is simply invisible. We know that
    the reduced mintages are sufficient to fill the gap and can suppose they are likely more than suf-
    ficient. In all probaboility there is a net flow back to the treasury from this alone even before new
    redemption of coin from the public is factored in.

    Probably the best indicatoir is penny production. This worthless little coin provides a lot of clues
    simply because it is worthless. Even someone in dire straights has no neesd to haul pennies to
    the bank so the rate at which they get circulated from home to bank doesn't change as radically
    as the economy. Mintage here is still in the 7B per year vicinity which suggests perhaps a 15%
    or so reduction in coinage needs above and beyond changes in coin usage and and changes in
    this usage (pennies are being used less). This suggests that coin stocks at the FED are becoming
    rather considerable with perhaps as many as 6 or 7 billion quarters under lock and key. From ob-
    servation it appears that about 1% of the quarters in circulation are there for the first time in more
    than three years so The "total hoard" held by the public has probably been reduced from around
    10 billion to 5 billion coins. There's a lot of guesswork here of course. It should be remembered
    that the quarters held by the public are almost entirely coins that have been held for three years
    or less. Very few people ever hold onto any quarters for a longer period. If they did then you
    could find high grade early coins of random dates in circulation and you can't. You can find old high
    grade quarters but they are confined strictly to specific dates.

    Essentially what happens is that the average number of coins held by the public goes up and down
    with the economy. Almost everyone gets rid of their coins when they start taking up too much
    space but when the economy is sour more people turn them over more quickly. When the economy
    rebounds the quarters will flow back out of the vaults fairly quickly.

    What is in the vaults looks just like what's in circulation. There is a somewhat higher incidence of
    brand new coins and uncs. There will also be significant numbers of coins straight from the mint
    up to three years old. All these coins will appear a little dark or dirty when they come out of stor-
    age sometimes but quickly clean up in circulation.

    I might be overstating the number of coins being held but these things are much easier to gauge
    after the fact usually.
    tempus fugit extra philosophiam.
  • ConnecticoinConnecticoin Posts: 13,145 ✭✭✭✭✭
    If you see a lot of Bicentennial Quarters, that ususally is an indicator of hoarded change being turned loose.
  • cladkingcladking Posts: 28,952 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>If you see a lot of Bicentennial Quarters, that ususally is an indicator of hoarded change being turned loose. >>




    I'm not certain this is true but there are an awful lot of these coming back
    into circulation now. It started 10 years ago but is really picking up steam.
    About 40% of mintage appears to be in circulation now and a few are fin-
    ally starting to show their age.

    Just in the last couple years these have made a big jump.
    tempus fugit extra philosophiam.
  • BaleyBaley Posts: 22,663 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Check Coinstar's annual reports. Billions of coins handled per year.
    TD >>


    Increasingly, I don't get this CoinStar thing. I can take loose change to my bank and get 100% back. Why give up 8% (or whatever)?



    for the convenience of dumping in the unrolled, uncounted bucket of coins in the hopper, and getting a receipt seconds later that cashes and/or spends like cash right at the store.

    same reason people pay "convenience fees" for prepared food, lawn care, clothes, etc. Why give up the fees when you can grow, cut, sew your own?

    Liberty: Parent of Science & Industry

  • RYKRYK Posts: 35,800 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i> Check Coinstar's annual reports. Billions of coins handled per year.
    TD >>


    Increasingly, I don't get this CoinStar thing. I can take loose change to my bank and get 100% back. Why give up 8% (or whatever)?



    for the convenience of dumping in the unrolled, uncounted bucket of coins in the hopper, and getting a receipt seconds later that cashes and/or spends like cash right at the store.

    same reason people pay "convenience fees" for prepared food, lawn care, clothes, etc. Why give up the fees when you can grow, cut, sew your own? >>


    Suit yourself. I dump unrolled, uncounted buckets at the bank and save the 8%. The other analogies are silly, IMO.
  • BaleyBaley Posts: 22,663 ✭✭✭✭✭
    oh, I know they're silly. image the point is, lots of folks are willing to pay for all kinds of conveniences that you and I don't think are worth it.

    Liberty: Parent of Science & Industry

  • johnny9434johnny9434 Posts: 29,767 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I'm seeing alot more wheat backs in change that are in nicer condtion and even got a few as well


  • << <i>oh, I know they're silly. image the point is, lots of folks are willing to pay for all kinds of conveniences that you and I don't think are worth it. >>



    Value of convenience is worth of time x units of time saved.

    A man who's time is worth $100 hr would spend $100 time equiv. mowing his lawn for 1 hr.

    A seperate 15 minute trip to bank would cost him $25 in time.

    To save 8% coinstar fee he would need to deposit in banks free counting machine $300+ in change.

    I could easily do the vast majority of things I pay others to do but it would be a poor use of my time.

    I actualy paid a kid $8/hr to take 25K in loose GW dollars to bank a few years back.......money well spent.

    Now before anyone rises to the bait to say they value time at far less than $100/hr let me say that we as a society and as individuals frequently pay far more for time and we pay it when the worth of the time is far less. It is very common for people in terminal condition to spends tens of thousands of dollars to prolong their lives by a few weeks or a couple of months.

    If I could guarantee you 1 extra day of life with no change in overall quality of that life how many days would you buy for $100/day?? $1000/day?? Most would buy all the extra days they could for $100 day...............many frequently trade a lifetime of savings for little more than the hope for some additional measure of time so don't be too quick to discount the value of convience if it saves you time.
  • SaorAlbaSaorAlba Posts: 7,593 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I curse Coinstar, but I find good things in the reject trays all the time - and the stuff that actually gets processed finds it's way back into circulation. Which is why I keep finding these kewl wheats, in the last year even three 1943 steel cents, a dime etc in rolls. Coinstar gets a lot of usage as their reports would suggest - and for those willing to fore-go the cash - you can take the full value of your change in gift certificates on some machines for Amazon etc.

    And yes, I have even found a couple of stray silver Roosies in the reject bin.
    Tir nam beann, nan gleann, s'nan gaisgeach ~ Saorstat Albanaich a nis!
  • shorecollshorecoll Posts: 5,447 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I study consumer spending behavior for a living, and have for the past 30 years. 4% of Americans will not cross the street to save a $2.00+ ATM fee. That number hasn't changed in 20 years. So yes you can charge "ridiculous" convenience fees for lots of things.
    ANA-LM, NBS, EAC
  • pennyanniepennyannie Posts: 3,929 ✭✭✭
    If i was going to guess i have over 10k in change laying around the house now. I have a few hundred rolls of prezzie dollars ( try to get rid of them) and bags of wheat and memorial cents in circulated and BU. I do not have a real reason for any of it. I just bought between 4 to 10 rolls of prezzie dollars when i went to the bank to put in my safe instead of my checking account. It added up fast and the wife did not know about then till i posted this.

    I bought a few v-nickels last week and took in 20 rolls of pres dollars. The bank said they had to bust the rolls to cash them in. This year i am putting 100 dollar bills back.
    Mark
    NGC registry V-Nickel proof #6!!!!
    working on proof shield nickels # 8 with a bullet!!!!

    RIP "BEAR"
  • 291fifth291fifth Posts: 24,817 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>

    << <i> Check Coinstar's annual reports. Billions of coins handled per year.
    TD >>


    Increasingly, I don't get this CoinStar thing. I can take loose change to my bank and get 100% back. Why give up 8% (or whatever)?



    for the convenience of dumping in the unrolled, uncounted bucket of coins in the hopper, and getting a receipt seconds later that cashes and/or spends like cash right at the store.

    same reason people pay "convenience fees" for prepared food, lawn care, clothes, etc. Why give up the fees when you can grow, cut, sew your own? >>


    Suit yourself. I dump unrolled, uncounted buckets at the bank and save the 8%. The other analogies are silly, IMO. >>



    My bank in Michigan won't take anything but rolled coins. Over in Illinois, they won't take anything but unrolled coins (at the bank my brother uses.)
    All glory is fleeting.

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